Quote:
Originally Posted by Vocenoctum Just to be clear, you use the word "accuracy", but that's not true. The "math is simpler" with a smaller percentage simply because those polls have a bigger margin of error. A larger percentage poll is more accurate due to a smaller margin of error, but then the m-o-e must be calculated with more complexity.
There is no margin of error in the EN poll, and it's not a representative sample or a valid poll for any use other than "hey, I was just curious". The fact that Drader's remarks are basically "I know internet polls are invalid, but this one proves I'm right!" is all I'm commenting on.
Either way, a smaller margin of error means more accuracy. A larger percentage of the base will result in a smaller margin of error and more accurate results, but the math will be more complicated. |
Absolutely correct. However, beyond a certain point (
IIRC from statistics class, around 100 respondents), you really get diminishing returns from increasing sample size until you get to a significant portion of the population. The problem with the EN World polls is not sample size but that they are self-selected samples of convenience.