Quote:
Originally Posted by thecasualoblivion  1. 4E is successful, maintains itself as the top selling and most played RPG, and runs 8-10 years in its current direction before being replaced by a 5E even less like previous editions |
If there are no major future market mistakes made by
WotC, I can possibly see this scenario happening. Though this is assuming Hasbro has an interest in keeping the tabletop rpg
WotC division around, and not selling it. No idea what the top executives at Hasbro think of
WotC.
On the other hand, all bets are off if Hasbro/
WotC royally messes up something which drastically affects D&D sales.
Quote:
Originally Posted by thecasualoblivion 2. Pathfinder tapers off after a successful launch by 3PP standards, and achieves a stable presence on par with True20 or Mutants and Masterminds. |
I have no idea what direction Pathfinder will go. At the present time, it may very well be a coin toss.
Quote:
Originally Posted by thecasualoblivion 3. The 3.5E playing community shrinks over time until its on par with people playing previous editions. |
This I wouldn't be too surprised to see this happening over a 10 to 20+ year period.
For example, these days I have a hard time finding anybody locally who is interested in playing a regular campaign using 1E AD&D or the red box basic set D&D. Usually what ends up happening is I find a group of old friends who I use to game with ages ago, where we have a marathon session of playing 1E AD&D or basic set D&D over a long weekend.
Quote:
Originally Posted by thecasualoblivion 4. OGL based gaming begins a slow decline, with the big names soldiering on and fewer and fewer new products being released. |
I can see
OGL possibly going this way, if the established
3pp companies start making their own games using their own independent rules systems.
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