This Weekend @ The Box Office

Hand of Evil

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Epic
Holdovers Battle for Fourth
by Keith Simanton --- July 5, 2015


Jurassic World and Inside Out are still grappling for 1st place over the three-day Fourth of July frame, with World just slightly ahead, estimating $30.9M to Inside's $30.1M.

If World prevails it will be the dino-flick's fourth three-day weekend at #1.

What Universal does appear to be conceding, however, with a "you can have it" air, is that the Disney/Pixar film is likely the winner of the five-day Fourth of July frame. Though it's still a tight race Disney is claiming victory for the full holiday domestic frame with Inside Out making $45.3M (4,158 venues) to Jurassic World's $43.8M (3,737 venues).

Universal is also reporting that Jurassic World will pass $550M in domestic grosses this weekend. Adding another milestone to its marble bag of records that's the fastest—in 24 days—any film has reached the $550M mark. World added $42M in overseas coin, raising its international total to $826.9M. Combined with domestic that total makes Jurassic World the fifth highest grossing film worldwide of all time with $1.385B in global grosses, just passing Avengers: Age of Ultron at $1.37B. Ultron opened in its last market this weekend, making $6.5M in Japan.

The lackluster home field reception for Paramount's Terminator Genisys, which has a three-day estimate of $28.7M and a five-day estimate of $44.1M, calls into question the domestic box-office draw of Arnold Swarzenegger and the overall viability of the once-redoubtable Terminator franchise itself.

After all 2009's Terminator Salvation opened in 3,530 venues with a three-day estimate of $42.6M, a $12,056 per screen average. Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines, made $44M in 3,504 theaters, a $12,568 average on its three-day July 4th weekend in 2003. Terminator Genisys was in 3,758 theaters yet only made a $7,637 average.

Overseas coin, however, the likely reason that anyone revisted making another Terminator in the first place, looks like it might save the day. Grosses came in at $74M from 44 markets over the weekend and an $85M international cume.

Terminator Genisys opened at #1 in Russia ($12.5M at 1,150 locations), Korea ($11.1M from 1,275 venues), Mexico ($6.2M from 670 locations), India ($2.8M from 600 venues), Malaysia ($2.3M at 131 sites), Taiwan ($2.1M at 80 locations), Hong Kong ($1.9M from 44 venues), and Ukraine ($666K from 235 locations). Though not landing at the #1 spot it has also opened in the UK ($5.6M from 536 sites), France ($3.8M at 680 locations), Brazil ($4M from 549 cinemas), Australia ($4.7M at 258 cinemas), the Philippines ($1.4M at 149 sites), and Venezuela ($2.4M at 75 venues).

It has yet to open in Germany and Italy, which it does on July 9th and the next day in Spain and Japan. A release date has yet to be chosen for China.

At Genisys's reported pre-advertising cost of $155M it will be the international markets that dictate whether we will be hearing of Skynet and Judgment Day in the near future. Given that Paramount has two more Terminator films slated to go, in 2016 and 2017, all eyes will be on those rollouts.

With an astounding 96% female audience Magic Mike XXL left the three-day weekend with $12.04M dollars tucked into its waistband. For the five-day frame the film made $27.07M. Overseas had a limited launch with $6.2M at 2,572 screens in 15 markets, led by the U.K. with $2.5M. Mike has an A- from CinemaScore and a reported budget of $14.8M meaning not only was its clientele happy with it so was Warner Bros.

Ted 2 had a -67% drop off from last week, making $11M for the three day and $ 17.3M for the five day holiday. Its domestic cume stands at $58.3M. Internationally Ted has marked about 50% of the available territories adding $8.8M to its international total of $36M for a worldwide cume of $94.3M. It will open in the U.K. and Ireland, Poland, Turkey and Peru next weekend.

If things don't turn around, which seems unlikely, we're more likely to see more Terminators than we are more teddy bears.
 

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