D&D 5E So How Long Will 5E Last For?

Zardnaar

Legend
The following is IMHO of course. Mearls uttered the words 6E and of course this leads to speculation that they are working oin 6E or that 5E is not doing very well.

Now the problem is that online people tend to lean towards extremes. Generally there are posters who think that 5E is the best edition ever (personally its in my top 3, best ever doubtful), and that 5E is perfect and will last for 10-20 years or will be the last one.

Others have been predicting 5E will die a miserable whimpering death. This group is mostly 4E fans who were miffed 5E was not 4.5.

Some people claim 5E is the best selling D&D ever (its not), but it has probably outsold the other editions since 2003.

Another example would be some posters who think 5E is perfect mechanically where there are holes starting to be found and they have been contradicted by Mearls when they argue things like RAI vs RAW. Off the top of my head there are a few mechanical issues 5E has.

1. The -5/+10 feats
2. Bonus actions
3. Saves at higher levels
4. The way ACs scale at high levels (Monsters start getting +10-+16 to hit, ACs, are still around 20)
5. Some classes/archtypes
6. Advantage
7. Concentration mechanics
8. Casting multiple spells per round

Some of these effects are underpowered, overpowered, maybe broken, or just complicated.

WotC has indicated they are gonna be moving away from the AP type adventures and that 6E will land when the players want it (AKA when 5E sales decline).

So how long will 5E last.

The bare minimum if they started designing 6E tomorrow would be 6 years. I do not expect this.

In it lasts a decade or more that is great but only 3/7 D&Ds have done this (1E, 2E and BECMI). I would put 10 years at the upper limit. 3E in all its various forms has lasted 17 years, this is coming close to BECMI's 19 year record (if you count Paizo's Pathfinder as 3.x).

No WoTC D&D has lasted more than 5 years in print, 8 if you count 3.0+3.5.

So if I was a betting man (I'm not BTW) I would expect 5E to last in the 8-10 year range. 6E will come eventually when that will be IDK.
 
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TerraDave

5ever, or until 2024
We are on the cusp of the 3 year anniversary. (And the PHB is still in the top 100).

They obviously don't want to go down the route of 3E or 4E.

I am thinking 5 more years, so around 8.

BUT, the real question is how they revise 5E. Lots and lots of hinting...still not clear what the next big move will be. But there will be one.
 

mellored

Legend
What he said, is 6e will happen when fans ask for it.
I haven't seen anyone asking for it.


Though I do hold out hope for "D&D tactics" (i.e. 4.5). Which Merls also mentioned. I'll guess 2-3 years for that.
 



pukunui

Legend
I'ma just leave this here:

Capture.JPG
 

None of 5e's mechanical issues are systemic enough to warrant an entire new edition. They just seem to be a few things here and there that can easily be revised. The core of the game itself is very strong.

It's also encouraging that Mearls hinted that a 6e, when it needs to come, wouldn't throw out what works very well about 5e.
 

Raith5

Adventurer
I play both 4e and 5e. 4e is my favorite edition ever, sure I wanted to see a 4.5 edition and I think the designers overreacted to the problems of 4e, but I dont want a new edition. I think 5e has a lot of life let in it and a lot of possible design directions left and possible modules to develop (such as a tactical combat module). Also I dont see a lot of activity here or elsewhere wanting a new edition.
 


Zardnaar

Legend
I play both 4e and 5e. 4e is my favorite edition ever, sure I wanted to see a 4.5 edition and I think the designers overreacted to the problems of 4e, but I dont want a new edition. I think 5e has a lot of life let in it and a lot of possible design directions left and possible modules to develop (such as a tactical combat module). Also I dont see a lot of activity here or elsewhere wanting a new edition.

4E was an over reaction to 3.5, 3.0 sort of tried to pic up where late 2E finished but the changes messed a whole heap of things up inadvertently.
 
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