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The only indicator I see that it sold more than expected is that gaming stores were having trouble keeping it stocked. The rest of the statements all sound more like post hoc spin to me. Not that I think it's doing badly, just that if you follow them logically, they don't actually tell you how...

The problem with 2024 and comparisons to 2014 are that initial states are no where near the same. 2014 started at a low point and had to build back the empire. 2024 starts out at one of the highest points of D&D. As such, I don't believe it's fair to compare 2024 to the first years of 2014...

If it’s beneficial or harmful to survival and in nature a survivalist should know that. He probably doesn’t know herb X can be used to make a magical potion, but if it’s edible or would kill him if he eats it, that he should know. Same for dangerous animals. He may not know everything about...

The Dungeon Master's Guide (DMG) provides examples of hazards, including brown mold, green slime, rapture weed, webs, yellow mold, and various environmental conditions like extreme cold, extreme heat, strong wind, heavy precipitation, high altitude, desecrated ground, frigid water, quicksand...

It’s not a houserule. Survival identifies hazards.

Survival identifies hazards. poisonous mushrooms are a hazard.

Of course it does. It’s all about outdoorsy survival. Knowledge about natural things that would aid in survival is survival. Like identifying signs that an owlbear is lives nearby. Kind of required to know what an owlbear is to do that. And despite it being lore/knowledge about owlbears that...

And why would a play care to identify a narrowleaf cottonwood tree?

I believe that if you have 2 skills and 1 does everything the other does and more than you don’t actually need 2 skills.

Can you name one thing someone proficient with nature should be able to do that someone proficient in survival shouldn’t be able to?

What’s distinct about them?

If anything medicine should have been a tool proficiency, maybe a Physicains Kit. The tools of physicians are stiches, surgical tools, antibiotics, ointments, other medicines and knowing when and how to use them safely. That at least covers diagnosing and treating. Then to make it really...

Kind of feels like survival and nature should be one skill.

I wouldn’t say widely, but you seem to mostly be restating what my post stated? Is that intentended? I’d suggest just focus firing in 99% of situations. Not sure why interception style matters? And while it is a bit better on lower AC characters, permanent AC normally stays within ~3 points...

Correct. This is being factored in. Possibly. There's still the question of focus fire potentially being better. In any case, this is not currently being factored in and would improve the defensive numbers especially for the higher accuracy scenarios.

One small note, i broke mine into categories but didn't fully rank them within each category. Shouldn't have much if any impact but just wanted it noted. To be even more accurate you could take the median skill rank of each of my categories and apply it to all skills for that category. Again...

So I did a similar comparison with sap and a shield vs no sap and no shield. 1 incoming attack ~45% damage taken 2 incoming attacks ~61% damage taken 3 incoming attacks ~67% damage taken 4 incoming attacks ~69% damage taken The corresponding EHP values (probably a bit more comparable to DPR...

I looked at SAP Mastery and I found the following to be good estimates of it's value in the following situations. 1 incoming attack ~62% damage taken 2 incoming attacks ~81% damage taken 3 incoming attacks ~87% damage taken 4 incoming attacks ~90% damage taken Note: These are rules of thumb as...