[Eberron] The odds of Khorvaire being totally sc****d within a decade.

loseth

First Post
So, the Lords of Dust have hired you to work as a bookie in a popular gambling house. There, the Lords of Dust place bets on various nasty things that they would like to see happen to Khorvaire. The thing is, you have to decide the odds. So, do you agree with the odds given below or would you change them (based on RAW rather than any homebrew modifications)? All odds are for the event to happen in the next 10 years (i.e. by 1008).

2-1. King Boranel dies and civil war breaks out in Breland. Get better odds by betting that a nearby power decides to take the opportunity to invade/rebel once the civil war begins: 4-1 Droaam; 5-1 Silln Dhakaani; 6-1 New Cyre; 8-1 Darguun; 10-1 Thrane; 20-1 Aundair.

3-1. The Treaty of Thronehold is broken and the Last War reignites.

10-1. The Lord of Blades invades Khorvaire with a large warforged army built in the Mournland.

12-1. The Mournland begin to expand at a significant pace.

17-1. One or more Daelkyr manage to break out of Khyber, bringing an army of abberations with them.

19-1. The Dhakaani of Darguun unite and seize control of the nation.

30-1. The Lords of Dust infiltrate and gain (full or near-full) control of the Trust in Zilargo, The Citadel in Breland, or House Phiarlan or Thuranni.

40-1. House Denieth decides to convert its military power into a state.

50-1. The Lords of Dust manage to free a Raksasha Rajah.

100-1. Vol finds a way to bring her House bloodline back.

100-1. The Dreaming Dark starts gaining control of a significant proportion of minds in Khorvaire.

100-1. The Daelkyr manage to destroy enough dimensional seals to allow Xoriat to become coterminous once again.


P.S. ‘It’s your campaign, so you need to decide yourself, blah, blah, blah…’ is not permitted as an answer. ;) This isn’t for a campaign, just for fun.
 

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I'm sorry, but there is a terrible conflict of interest in having the Lords of Dust place bets on things the Lords of Dust might accomplish.

Other than that I don't know the background on all of these, but for those I do know the odds seem appropriate.
 




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