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Getting close to the Peace summit. Needed a seating chart, so I pieced this together from the way the conversations play out. Note, some of the NPCs don't have cards, so I proxied ones from the card set that I felt were close enough. Basically, this is organized as a head table with the main...

Data shows 70% over level 11, with an N of 100. Interesting. I think you only need a total of 370 responses to hit a confidence interval of 95% (assuming a random sample of a population of 40 Million players), but I think it's safe to say the statistically significant number is considerably...

I'll summarize, and then I'm out for the rest of the conversation. Basically, I took issue with the non-representative sample, and was pointing out how the data was skewed, and myself, and a lot of other people listed reasons for the bias. Most of which, I agree with. I was ready to chalk it...

Go back and re-read when I first envoked Hanlon's Razor, and why I said I changed my mind concerning rejecting it during this very forum discussion.

Except in this case, the aliens appeared.

Hanlon's Razor, and my theory didn't disagree with any of the reasons people brought up. Don't cite the deep magic to me, witch. ;) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon's_razor

It's a fair criticism that my suspicion may be misdirected, but I still think we are quibbling since we are talking about an offical product developer with access to NDA data.

The semantics aren't really the point; I think we aren't disagreeing about much of substance here, as I think you agree that market research is valuable insofar as it provides a strategic Information advantage, especially in a narrow market. In which case, the data that is provided here isn't...

My comment about Trail of Cthulu, just to be clear, was an attempt at a self-deprecating joke because of the suggestion that I was a conspiracy theorist. I like lots of games, and none of this good discussion makes me like D&D any less.

If you think my points are meritless, then you must believe that WoTC doesn't release all of their research data to the public domain because "it's boring and inaccessible."

You hit on the million dollar (or I guess in this industry, hundred thousand) dollar question.

As much as I'd like to do professional game design someday, I'm not qualified to write the book, as I'd be the target audience.

Well, this one (Enworld), if they published something first for a small, but profitable market of players.

It appears he succeeded. I guess I should just retreat now and go back to playing Trail of Chutulu...

I was leaning towards option 1, and just chalk it all up to Hanlon's Razor, until the lead designer from WoTC took time out of his busy day to let some yahoo with a theory know how wrong he was.

3) Assume WoTC wants to corner the market on a supplement targeting players in the 10-20 level character range and selectively released misleading statistics to their third party competitors. Edit: oh, I meant "partners."