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General Tabletop Discussion
*Dungeons & Dragons
Cost/Benefit Analysis of True Strike
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<blockquote data-quote="Celebrim" data-source="post: 6439669" data-attributes="member: 4937"><p>One thing missing from your analysis is the chance that in round n+1, your attack is meaningless because the target is dead. Equally, there is a chance that maximum damage from attack cantrip + costly spell ends an attack in round two, where as true strike + costly spell does not because though the expected damage is higher the maximum damage is not. </p><p></p><p>I'd expect that there is a fairly tight grouping between single target damage and spell level, that suggests that the greater the spell level of your costly spell, the more desirable it is to set up with true strike relative to setting up with an attack cantrip. I'm not sure that I buy that cast true strike + 1st level spell, always has a higher expected damage than attack cantrip + 1st level spell. Particularly in the case of like a 5th level caster, True Strike + 3rd level spell seems likely to be higher expected damage, but I'd bet on attack cantrip + 1st level spell over true strike + 1st level spell in terms of expected damage because of the fact that at 5th level, cantrip damage just about doubles IIRC.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Celebrim, post: 6439669, member: 4937"] One thing missing from your analysis is the chance that in round n+1, your attack is meaningless because the target is dead. Equally, there is a chance that maximum damage from attack cantrip + costly spell ends an attack in round two, where as true strike + costly spell does not because though the expected damage is higher the maximum damage is not. I'd expect that there is a fairly tight grouping between single target damage and spell level, that suggests that the greater the spell level of your costly spell, the more desirable it is to set up with true strike relative to setting up with an attack cantrip. I'm not sure that I buy that cast true strike + 1st level spell, always has a higher expected damage than attack cantrip + 1st level spell. Particularly in the case of like a 5th level caster, True Strike + 3rd level spell seems likely to be higher expected damage, but I'd bet on attack cantrip + 1st level spell over true strike + 1st level spell in terms of expected damage because of the fact that at 5th level, cantrip damage just about doubles IIRC. [/QUOTE]
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