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<blockquote data-quote="Natro" data-source="post: 4372274" data-attributes="member: 72930"><p>This analysis is very interesting to me and I am just trying to make sure it is yielding meaningful and represtative results within its scope.</p><p> </p><p></p><p> </p><p></p><p> </p><p>You are correct; my mistake! I incorrectly applied the appropriate probability equation for this case. We are talking about quarry damage which gets applied only once in a round and the attacker gets to choose which attack to apply the damage to after all the attacks are rolled. It does not matter which attack hits or which attack the damage gets applied to. Essentially this a logical 'OR' where the success of either event will grant the opportunity to apply the quarry damage. P(A or B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A)P(B). Since in this case P(A)=P(B) we get 2*P(A)-P(A)^2 which is equal to your formula.</p><p> </p><p>The only additional thing I tried to account for is the secondary attack. Since this attack is only possible if the primary attack is successful, it should not be included in the chances to apply quarry damage.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Natro, post: 4372274, member: 72930"] This analysis is very interesting to me and I am just trying to make sure it is yielding meaningful and represtative results within its scope. You are correct; my mistake! I incorrectly applied the appropriate probability equation for this case. We are talking about quarry damage which gets applied only once in a round and the attacker gets to choose which attack to apply the damage to after all the attacks are rolled. It does not matter which attack hits or which attack the damage gets applied to. Essentially this a logical 'OR' where the success of either event will grant the opportunity to apply the quarry damage. P(A or B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A)P(B). Since in this case P(A)=P(B) we get 2*P(A)-P(A)^2 which is equal to your formula. The only additional thing I tried to account for is the secondary attack. Since this attack is only possible if the primary attack is successful, it should not be included in the chances to apply quarry damage. [/QUOTE]
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