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Judgement calls vs "railroading"
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<blockquote data-quote="FormerlyHemlock" data-source="post: 7050694" data-attributes="member: 6787650"><p>That illusion isn't necessarily as false as it's sometimes made out to be. Brains are neural networks; almost every decision is made by weighing multiple factors against each other. When you ask someone "Why did you do X?", it's not obviously true that you must be asking them "which factor tipped the balance?" and indeed, figuring out what tipped the balance may be very difficult to do. A simpler, more intuitive question would be "What was the biggest factor in favor of doing X?" and it's possible that it is that question which people were answering.</p><p></p><p>Why am I eating a cheeseburger? Because cheeseburgers are delicious.</p><p>Why am I not eating a cheeseburger? Because I want to get fit.</p><p></p><p>These are both valid lines of reasoning, and yet only one of them will come to pass, perhaps based on whether or not my co-worker asks me to join him for lunch. Will that mean that the the co-worker's invitation was the deciding factor? Nope. It might only be 5% of the reason--and there are other days when that 5% won't be enough to tip me one way or the other, and I'll do my thing regardless of what he does. Arguably it would in fact be FALSE to say that my co-worker is responsible for me eating that cheeseburger, especially if he is 5% of the reason and their deliciousness is 30-40%.</p><p></p><p>Even if you are 100% rational, it's very tricky to ever pick a single dominant reason why you did something, because there usually isn't a single dominant reason.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FormerlyHemlock, post: 7050694, member: 6787650"] That illusion isn't necessarily as false as it's sometimes made out to be. Brains are neural networks; almost every decision is made by weighing multiple factors against each other. When you ask someone "Why did you do X?", it's not obviously true that you must be asking them "which factor tipped the balance?" and indeed, figuring out what tipped the balance may be very difficult to do. A simpler, more intuitive question would be "What was the biggest factor in favor of doing X?" and it's possible that it is that question which people were answering. Why am I eating a cheeseburger? Because cheeseburgers are delicious. Why am I not eating a cheeseburger? Because I want to get fit. These are both valid lines of reasoning, and yet only one of them will come to pass, perhaps based on whether or not my co-worker asks me to join him for lunch. Will that mean that the the co-worker's invitation was the deciding factor? Nope. It might only be 5% of the reason--and there are other days when that 5% won't be enough to tip me one way or the other, and I'll do my thing regardless of what he does. Arguably it would in fact be FALSE to say that my co-worker is responsible for me eating that cheeseburger, especially if he is 5% of the reason and their deliciousness is 30-40%. Even if you are 100% rational, it's very tricky to ever pick a single dominant reason why you did something, because there usually isn't a single dominant reason. [/QUOTE]
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