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RPG Evolution: What is the Reach of an 800 lb. Gorilla?
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<blockquote data-quote="Dungeonosophy" data-source="post: 8928851" data-attributes="member: 6688049"><p>Well, of the other competitors which are mentioned in the article, PF2 and A5E are out now; and Black Flag 5E has reportedly been in production since last summer.</p><p></p><p>I’d add C7d20 as also being relevant. It seems to be a 5E clone, and since Cubicle 7 may have more staff than MCDM (?), so C7d20 might be expected sooner than MCDM, in 2023(?)</p><p></p><p>Your analogies don’t line up.</p><p></p><p>Timewise, the present-day analogy would be one year prior to the release of 4E; during the last year of 3.5E, just after 4E was announced.</p><p></p><p>3.5E was a pretty good seller. Not as massive as the 5E phenomenon, but 3.5E was successful. It was viewed positively by the community as a whole, and at that time, there was no cultural split (‘edition wars’). (3e variant competitors like Arcana Unearthed, Iron Heroes, and Trailblazer were influential and respected, but were not really large-scale ‘divisions’ in the community.)</p><p></p><p>It’s false to assume that 1D&D will necessarily be a big hit, regardless of how mechanically compatible it is with 5E or not.</p><p></p><p>If you’d asked me two months ago whether it was a sure thing that 1D&D would be successful, I’d have said yes.</p><p></p><p>But obviously a pretty significant ‘cultural split’ of a different sort has occurred in the past month, which has no precedent in the wind-down phase of 3.5E.</p><p></p><p>Like Ryan Dancey said in a recent interview: no company would wish for such a fiasco in the lead-up to a new edition.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dungeonosophy, post: 8928851, member: 6688049"] Well, of the other competitors which are mentioned in the article, PF2 and A5E are out now; and Black Flag 5E has reportedly been in production since last summer. I’d add C7d20 as also being relevant. It seems to be a 5E clone, and since Cubicle 7 may have more staff than MCDM (?), so C7d20 might be expected sooner than MCDM, in 2023(?) Your analogies don’t line up. Timewise, the present-day analogy would be one year prior to the release of 4E; during the last year of 3.5E, just after 4E was announced. 3.5E was a pretty good seller. Not as massive as the 5E phenomenon, but 3.5E was successful. It was viewed positively by the community as a whole, and at that time, there was no cultural split (‘edition wars’). (3e variant competitors like Arcana Unearthed, Iron Heroes, and Trailblazer were influential and respected, but were not really large-scale ‘divisions’ in the community.) It’s false to assume that 1D&D will necessarily be a big hit, regardless of how mechanically compatible it is with 5E or not. If you’d asked me two months ago whether it was a sure thing that 1D&D would be successful, I’d have said yes. But obviously a pretty significant ‘cultural split’ of a different sort has occurred in the past month, which has no precedent in the wind-down phase of 3.5E. Like Ryan Dancey said in a recent interview: no company would wish for such a fiasco in the lead-up to a new edition. [/QUOTE]
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RPG Evolution: What is the Reach of an 800 lb. Gorilla?
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