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Ryan Dancey - D&D in a Death Spiral
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<blockquote data-quote="jgsugden" data-source="post: 4747156" data-attributes="member: 2629"><p>I don't think I agree with these types of comments.</p><p></p><p>If D&D has a slow death wherein interest in the game falls off slowly, I think it will have a *negative* impact on *all* other table top RPGs. As D&D dies off, a majority of people would probably not be switching to other RPGs, but would instead be leaving the market. This would reduce the viability of brick and mortar game stores, reducing channels of exposure for other RPGs. </p><p></p><p>As such, (and I think Dancey will probably agree with this statement) D&D is still a very important contributor to his paycheck, and he wants it to thrive UNTIL such time as his products can be built up to rival D&D. In other words, he doesn't want D&D To decline - he wants his products to rise up to rival it.</p><p></p><p>As for whether D&D is in a death spiral - certain decisions made by WotC, as well as certain failures to produce promised electronic products, smack to me of a disconnect between development and management. These types of disconnects often occur in offices following large series of layoffs wherein the developmental staff is reduced disproportionately compared to management and sales staffing. (I've certainly seen it up close and personal.) </p><p></p><p>As for whether his doom and gloom predicitions are accurate: only time will tell. However, I'm comforted by the knowledge that even under the gloomiest of predicitions, if D&D died I'd still have nough materials to run great games for the rest of my life.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="jgsugden, post: 4747156, member: 2629"] I don't think I agree with these types of comments. If D&D has a slow death wherein interest in the game falls off slowly, I think it will have a *negative* impact on *all* other table top RPGs. As D&D dies off, a majority of people would probably not be switching to other RPGs, but would instead be leaving the market. This would reduce the viability of brick and mortar game stores, reducing channels of exposure for other RPGs. As such, (and I think Dancey will probably agree with this statement) D&D is still a very important contributor to his paycheck, and he wants it to thrive UNTIL such time as his products can be built up to rival D&D. In other words, he doesn't want D&D To decline - he wants his products to rise up to rival it. As for whether D&D is in a death spiral - certain decisions made by WotC, as well as certain failures to produce promised electronic products, smack to me of a disconnect between development and management. These types of disconnects often occur in offices following large series of layoffs wherein the developmental staff is reduced disproportionately compared to management and sales staffing. (I've certainly seen it up close and personal.) As for whether his doom and gloom predicitions are accurate: only time will tell. However, I'm comforted by the knowledge that even under the gloomiest of predicitions, if D&D died I'd still have nough materials to run great games for the rest of my life. [/QUOTE]
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