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<blockquote data-quote="UngeheuerLich" data-source="post: 9203977" data-attributes="member: 59057"><p>To get all my money. </p><p></p><p>No. It has a right answer depending on situation. The last one will nearly surely allow you to gain money over the course of mayn days. The first one has a 20% chance to cost you all your money. And you need to double up a few times before you have more money than I can afford. Your chance to stay in the game is 0.8^number of rounds. After which you are rich.</p><p></p><p>In poker that is there is the independent chip model. Which tells you that not all 50% chances are equal because if you lose all your chips you are out. So the fewer chips you have, the more they are worth to you (roughly spoken).</p><p></p><p>In D&D you have no chips. You and your enemies have hp. And even though there is a "right" answer. It is a) difficult to find, and b) there are other players and other monsters and sometimes just dealing a few damage with a very high chance tops dealing much damage with a low chance and sometimes it is the opposite.</p><p>And fights usually don't last long enough to really allow for low hit big damage attacks to zero in on the expectation value. So a few points of extra damage won't help you often enough.</p><p></p><p>Often enough it is just the tactical question: is it worth risking to miss and deal 10 more damage, or should I just try to hit (especially when you try to break concentratiom on the enemy or deal the last few points of hp damage).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="UngeheuerLich, post: 9203977, member: 59057"] To get all my money. No. It has a right answer depending on situation. The last one will nearly surely allow you to gain money over the course of mayn days. The first one has a 20% chance to cost you all your money. And you need to double up a few times before you have more money than I can afford. Your chance to stay in the game is 0.8^number of rounds. After which you are rich. In poker that is there is the independent chip model. Which tells you that not all 50% chances are equal because if you lose all your chips you are out. So the fewer chips you have, the more they are worth to you (roughly spoken). In D&D you have no chips. You and your enemies have hp. And even though there is a "right" answer. It is a) difficult to find, and b) there are other players and other monsters and sometimes just dealing a few damage with a very high chance tops dealing much damage with a low chance and sometimes it is the opposite. And fights usually don't last long enough to really allow for low hit big damage attacks to zero in on the expectation value. So a few points of extra damage won't help you often enough. Often enough it is just the tactical question: is it worth risking to miss and deal 10 more damage, or should I just try to hit (especially when you try to break concentratiom on the enemy or deal the last few points of hp damage). [/QUOTE]
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