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General Tabletop Discussion
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Why 5E may be the last edition of D&D
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<blockquote data-quote="Zardnaar" data-source="post: 7536239" data-attributes="member: 6716779"><p>Now might even be a fad, few years later its over. </p><p></p><p> 5E I doubt won't last 20 odd years like some are speculating the only D&Ds to come close to that would be Basic which in effect had around 4 or 5 sub versions (Holmes, Moldvay, BECMI, Black Box etc) was technically around for 19 years (77-96 IIRC) but was more or less out of print/on life support for some of those years. 3.X if you count 3.0, 3.5, Pathfinder as the same system but I don't think we'll see WoTC drop the ball again. </p><p></p><p> Sooner or later the books will plateau but they can always go down the spam some splats path for a year or 3 or see how will campaign settings etc do. See what sales are like in year 6 and 8, its really to early and most sales of D&D come early in the editions lifetime and 5E is following that trend. </p><p></p><p> A D&D movie won't land for 2 years minimum even if they start filming in the next 6 months and D&D and good movies don't go hand in hand. The entire RPG market yearly sales would only pay around a quarter of a AAA+ game or block buster movies production values. That is the main reason you're not going to see a good D&D movie or game unless you get some cheap indie development that blows up. </p><p></p><p> Same reason most of the good D&D games date from the late 90's and early 2000's. Game development back then was around $4 million, now its in the $80-200 million range, at least for a decent big budget version. The number of 90%+ rated titles on the PS2 is another example.</p><p></p><p></p><p> People are getting carried away methinks with how big D&D actually is.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Zardnaar, post: 7536239, member: 6716779"] Now might even be a fad, few years later its over. 5E I doubt won't last 20 odd years like some are speculating the only D&Ds to come close to that would be Basic which in effect had around 4 or 5 sub versions (Holmes, Moldvay, BECMI, Black Box etc) was technically around for 19 years (77-96 IIRC) but was more or less out of print/on life support for some of those years. 3.X if you count 3.0, 3.5, Pathfinder as the same system but I don't think we'll see WoTC drop the ball again. Sooner or later the books will plateau but they can always go down the spam some splats path for a year or 3 or see how will campaign settings etc do. See what sales are like in year 6 and 8, its really to early and most sales of D&D come early in the editions lifetime and 5E is following that trend. A D&D movie won't land for 2 years minimum even if they start filming in the next 6 months and D&D and good movies don't go hand in hand. The entire RPG market yearly sales would only pay around a quarter of a AAA+ game or block buster movies production values. That is the main reason you're not going to see a good D&D movie or game unless you get some cheap indie development that blows up. Same reason most of the good D&D games date from the late 90's and early 2000's. Game development back then was around $4 million, now its in the $80-200 million range, at least for a decent big budget version. The number of 90%+ rated titles on the PS2 is another example. People are getting carried away methinks with how big D&D actually is. [/QUOTE]
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