delericho
Legend
Unlikely for the same reason he listed model trains dying. The model train industry is dying because they priced out beginners. The RPG industry will never be more expensive than the cost of a book and a set of dice...
The big cost of getting started with D&D isn't financial, it is in all the reading you need to do.
Before a new group can get started, someone has to read the better part of 1,000 pages of core rules, and the rest of the group need to be familiar enough with a very complex system to create characters. Then they need to create characters, and create an adventure (or buy and read a pre-gen, meaning yet more reading). And then they get to start having fun.
The alternative should be the Red Box, which provides a quick and easy way in to the game. Unfortunately, the Red Box is pretty much worthless. It is only very recently that we've finally gotten any decent starter set (for Pathfinder) - there's been a gap since the mid-90s.
...but it does look like the first two articles were carefully written to criticize 4E and doesn't include any quotes from anyone who isn't a direct competitor of the game...
Note that the 'Present' article quotes both R.A. Salvatore (author working for WotC) and Andy Collins (ex-WotC, but not a competitor).