D&D 5E Crystal Ball: A year in, how do you think 5E will unfold going forward?

[Kramodlog]

Ok so you won't buy a FR book.

I haven't bought an AP so far.

But when a book is released that you like you will buy.

Please, do not transfer your desires to me.

 

[Benji]

Just two predictions:

1) When the Dragonlance AP comes out some time in 2020, Margret Weis's Productions will be the group writing it.

2) Eventually those people who keep saying the release schedule isn't working for them will either stop buying D&D, lose interest in commenting and posting the same comments day in, day out. Or they'll realise that despite the lack of releases, they still come here and talk about D&D continually and still play it without said releases and not worry too much about it any more. After, all if they've just spent a year conversing about a brand, they're basically doing what WOTC want already, Right?

 

[Kramodlog]

WotC will produce something for D&D that I will buy eventually.

What makes you so sure?

From Nathan Stewart's interview, one or two APs a year is what is on the menu.

 

[Parmandur]

When did they say that? Seems like your making stuff up to back your point. Especially with Paizo doing well releasing all those evil money losing books and supplements.



Nope. Their lackluster APs are not worth my money.

Paizo seems to be doing alright for themselves, but I have never bought a product from them. No plans to, either. WOTC is going for a different market, and tine will tell if that is better for them.

 

[Shasarak]

And now they have even more data pointing to the fact that releasing books that appeal to a thin slice of their customer base isn't a viable option. Thanks for making my point for me.

So then do not release books that appeal to a thin slice of their customer base?

Instead release books that appeal to a large slice of their customer base. Because to be honest releasing Adventure Paths that will only appeal to the DM slice of the customer base is pretty thin already.

 

[cmad1977]

So then do not release books that appeal to a thin slice of their customer base?

Instead release books that appeal to a large slice of their customer base. Because to be honest releasing Adventure Paths that will only appeal to the DM slice of the customer base is pretty thin already.

I would suggest that DM's are one of the larger slices. Perhaps the most important slice(?) no one plays without a DM. Players are a more fragmented group I would think. In my estimation this makes DMs the real target for broader products.

 

[Shasarak]

I would suggest that DM's are one of the larger slices. Perhaps the most important slice(?) no one plays without a DM. Players are a more fragmented group I would think. In my estimation this makes DMs the real target for broader products.

By targeting your products at players then you are targeting a possible 100% of DnD players since DMs can also play.

If you target your products at any other variable then the "Slice" must be thinner by definition.

 

[cmad1977]

By targeting your products at players then you are targeting a possible 100% of DnD players since DMs can also play.

If you target your products at any other variable then the "Slice" must be thinner by definition.

Except that players don't want a broad a spectrum of products. Players want a VERY narrow band of items. Each player option book only appeals to a small section of the players. So make a book about the 4 classes, even if they are broad enough to cover something like Arcane, Martial, Divine, roguish, each book only caters to a small section of the population. Adventures cater to most DMs except for those who are incapable of hacking the adventure into their campaign.

 

[cmad1977]

What makes you so sure?

From Nathan Stewart's interview, one or two APs a year is what is on the menu.

Then I'm pretty sure in a year or so I'm likely to purchase one of the AP's. Either to run as is, or to use as a resource in my own campaign.

 

[Mistwell]

They did say that, but even at the time it sounded like spin. A justification for the OGL being late, making it sound like a plus rather than an unfortunate delay.

OK, so you are calling them liars basically, in a polite way. They sure didn't imply anything about it being late when they said it, you're inferring that. OK then, not sure what to say to that. That's a very cynical view I think, that gives zero benefit of the doubt.

The legal departmet would be the primary lead in the OGL.

I do not think this is accurate but I am not going to say more on that topic.