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2022 & 2023 Predictions Thread!
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<blockquote data-quote="Mercurius" data-source="post: 8409751" data-attributes="member: 59082"><p>Right. But we were also supposed to get a 5th book last year, so the whole schedule is off from their original intention. We don't know if they had planned to do 5 books last year and 5 this (including MotM), or 5-6...?</p><p></p><p>I think we can say with some degree of certainty that next year will be at least 5, with a chance of 6, and maybe a tiny chance of 7. It could also be that 2021-23 represents a ramp up of 5-6-7.</p><p></p><p>My main point is that I think they're going to diverge from the "less is more" approach of 2014-17. They ran the company with a skeleton crew and outsourced some books, and didn't know how popular 5E would be. Once it became clear that it was a success, they planned to increase to 4 in 2018, then 5 eventually if things held. And now that it is clear that it is a gargantuan success, they might be considering playing with it, and going up to 6 or more.</p><p></p><p>I don't think they'll go back to 2E-4E era production, but there's a lot of room to play with between 3-4 books a year and 12+. There may be a sweet-spot somewhere in-between that doesn't glut the market. Considering the focus on stories and worlds, a total of 6-8 major products a year might be sustainable.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mercurius, post: 8409751, member: 59082"] Right. But we were also supposed to get a 5th book last year, so the whole schedule is off from their original intention. We don't know if they had planned to do 5 books last year and 5 this (including MotM), or 5-6...? I think we can say with some degree of certainty that next year will be at least 5, with a chance of 6, and maybe a tiny chance of 7. It could also be that 2021-23 represents a ramp up of 5-6-7. My main point is that I think they're going to diverge from the "less is more" approach of 2014-17. They ran the company with a skeleton crew and outsourced some books, and didn't know how popular 5E would be. Once it became clear that it was a success, they planned to increase to 4 in 2018, then 5 eventually if things held. And now that it is clear that it is a gargantuan success, they might be considering playing with it, and going up to 6 or more. I don't think they'll go back to 2E-4E era production, but there's a lot of room to play with between 3-4 books a year and 12+. There may be a sweet-spot somewhere in-between that doesn't glut the market. Considering the focus on stories and worlds, a total of 6-8 major products a year might be sustainable. [/QUOTE]
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