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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Chaosmancer" data-source="post: 9387853" data-attributes="member: 6801228">You might be misreading that chart though.  Firstly because goblins (Cr 1/4) have an AC of 15, and Hobgoblins (CR 1/2) have an AC of 18. Using your own numbers a +3 is a 55% to hit a Goblin and a 40% against a hobgoblin. Why the disparity? Well, because they don't match their CR for one, using that chart hobgoblins have an offensive CR of 1/4, but a defensive CR of 5 (combining their low hp with high AC). But also you are ssupposed to take the average off their values. Looking at actual statblocks most of the low level enemies with 13 AC also either hit like a truck, have tons of hp, or BOTH. Add in that people would prefer to grab feats that have cool effects instead of playing catch-up, and high AC enemies tend to have lower damage outputs making them safer to send against parties for the first 4 levels of play... and I would be surprised if the actual average AC groups face is closer to 14 or 15.</blockquote>