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<blockquote data-quote="Maxperson" data-source="post: 8392694" data-attributes="member: 23751">If you're fighting a dragon, that 1st level spell that you used wasn't going to be much use.&nbsp; Certainly far less use that the planning that you can do.Yeeeeaaahhh, you aren't going to get foreshadowing about something that is miles away.&nbsp; When you get close, sure, but you 1) may never get close if you don't look for it, which you won't if you don't know about it, and 2) won't be prepared for if you do, since you're.....................close.It's supported by confirmation bias.&nbsp; They assume a 16, and therefore the math shows a 16.&nbsp; If they assumed 14, the math would also show that.&nbsp; They arbitrarily picked 65%.You literally cannot roll for stats in the Adventuring League, because they aren't equivalent methods.Yada yada yada Strawman yada.&nbsp; Nobody, especially me, has argued anything about disproving the existence of the average. Your constant twisting of my arguments is becoming tiresome.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Maxperson, post: 8392694, member: 23751"] If you're fighting a dragon, that 1st level spell that you used wasn't going to be much use. Certainly far less use that the planning that you can do. Yeeeeaaahhh, you aren't going to get foreshadowing about something that is miles away. When you get close, sure, but you 1) may never get close if you don't look for it, which you won't if you don't know about it, and 2) won't be prepared for if you do, since you're.....................close. It's supported by confirmation bias. They assume a 16, and therefore the math shows a 16. If they assumed 14, the math would also show that. They arbitrarily picked 65%. You literally cannot roll for stats in the Adventuring League, because they aren't equivalent methods. Yada yada yada Strawman yada. Nobody, especially me, has argued anything about disproving the existence of the average. Your constant twisting of my arguments is becoming tiresome. [/QUOTE]

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