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Amazon: D&D at the start of 2018
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<blockquote data-quote="Jester David" data-source="post: 7402752" data-attributes="member: 37579"><p>The problem with that comparison is that old TSR’s figures also included sales of the multiple other RPGs *and* their many board games. I’ve never seen figures for just D&D.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Again, TSR =/= D&D. </p><p></p><p>Also, keep in mind we are talking about when TSR has 1e *and* Basic released at the same time. When it had two games both selling a million copies. So, yes, it could be bigger than the RPG market is right now but D&D 5e could still have sold more than 1e or Basic. It just means not both combined....</p><p></p><p>(And TSR had notoriously bad bookkeeping. I wouldn’t be surprised if the numbers they reported were significantly off.)</p><p></p><p></p><p>How much longer do you think it will take. </p><p>Again, D&D has been steadily selling more and more. It’s back on the Top 10 of all books again, where it has been living the last six months. With continued sales like that, do you think it will be six months? A year? </p><p></p><p></p><p>Sure. You could assume that. </p><p>Or you could check and find data to back up your claims. </p><p>Here’s Xanathar’s sales:</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH]96764[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>It declined, but no sudden drop.</p><p></p><p></p><p>>500k in August 2016.</p><p>365k per year for their last 18 months would be over 540k. </p><p></p><p>That’s over 1 million. By YOUR numbers. </p><p></p><p></p><p>The general thought is sales will follow the Pareto principle (aka the 80/20 rule) where 80% of sales come from 20% of the audience.</p><p>20% of 9 million is 1.8 million.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jester David, post: 7402752, member: 37579"] The problem with that comparison is that old TSR’s figures also included sales of the multiple other RPGs *and* their many board games. I’ve never seen figures for just D&D. Again, TSR =/= D&D. Also, keep in mind we are talking about when TSR has 1e *and* Basic released at the same time. When it had two games both selling a million copies. So, yes, it could be bigger than the RPG market is right now but D&D 5e could still have sold more than 1e or Basic. It just means not both combined.... (And TSR had notoriously bad bookkeeping. I wouldn’t be surprised if the numbers they reported were significantly off.) How much longer do you think it will take. Again, D&D has been steadily selling more and more. It’s back on the Top 10 of all books again, where it has been living the last six months. With continued sales like that, do you think it will be six months? A year? Sure. You could assume that. Or you could check and find data to back up your claims. Here’s Xanathar’s sales: [ATTACH=CONFIG]96764._xfImport[/ATTACH] It declined, but no sudden drop. >500k in August 2016. 365k per year for their last 18 months would be over 540k. That’s over 1 million. By YOUR numbers. The general thought is sales will follow the Pareto principle (aka the 80/20 rule) where 80% of sales come from 20% of the audience. 20% of 9 million is 1.8 million. [/QUOTE]
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