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An idea for WotC - how to transition to "5E"
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<blockquote data-quote="Croesus" data-source="post: 5737768" data-attributes="member: 35019"><p>I'm starting with the assumption that the bulk of 4E revenue comes from subscription fees, not published books. I believe that's a safe assumption, but with no data, it's only an assumption.</p><p></p><p>If true, then I would not expect the announcement of 5E to significantly reduce 4E revenue. After all, anyone currently playing 4E and paying for a subscription is unlikely to suddenly declare "Well, 4E is eventually going away, so I'll stop playing immediately." In fact, I suspect WOTC would see a surge in subscriptions, as some groups attempt to download as much content as possible before it goes away.</p><p></p><p>That suggests that the critical period is not from Announcement to Release, but from Release to 4E Shutdown. Would WOTC shut down 4E Insider immediately? Would they continue support for a few months? Longer? How they handle the transition post-5E release will be critical.</p><p></p><p>This looks like a minefield to me, with WOTC having far more bad options than good. The only certainty is that some folks will excoriate them, no matter what they do.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Croesus, post: 5737768, member: 35019"] I'm starting with the assumption that the bulk of 4E revenue comes from subscription fees, not published books. I believe that's a safe assumption, but with no data, it's only an assumption. If true, then I would not expect the announcement of 5E to significantly reduce 4E revenue. After all, anyone currently playing 4E and paying for a subscription is unlikely to suddenly declare "Well, 4E is eventually going away, so I'll stop playing immediately." In fact, I suspect WOTC would see a surge in subscriptions, as some groups attempt to download as much content as possible before it goes away. That suggests that the critical period is not from Announcement to Release, but from Release to 4E Shutdown. Would WOTC shut down 4E Insider immediately? Would they continue support for a few months? Longer? How they handle the transition post-5E release will be critical. This looks like a minefield to me, with WOTC having far more bad options than good. The only certainty is that some folks will excoriate them, no matter what they do. [/QUOTE]
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