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Are Any Of Your Players Really Unlucky?
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<blockquote data-quote="Elric" data-source="post: 4977860" data-attributes="member: 1139"><p>There are certainly people who have been less lucky in the past. Looking backwards, people probably haven't been any unluckier on their die rolls than random chance would suggest. Looking forward, essentially the only way to be "unlucky" is to use a die that isn't fair in a way that hurts the player (i.e., rolls low). To the extent that certain rolls matter much more than others (e.g., rolling for ability scores, or getting hit by save or die effects in 3.X), a player can have outcomes much luckier or unluckier than random chance would suggest, since even if you've had 3000 rolls, 30 of those rolls were by far the most important.</p><p></p><p>There are people who can cheat at dice, but I doubt that anyone who can do this rolls worse on purpose, and it would be strange to accidentally develop a really precise die rolling method and not realize you were using it counter-productively. If that was true and you ever figured out that you could make Y face of the die tend to come out as the result when starting with X face of the die on top, simply shifting the initial face of the die would lead to the player doing much better than simple chance.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Elric, post: 4977860, member: 1139"] There are certainly people who have been less lucky in the past. Looking backwards, people probably haven't been any unluckier on their die rolls than random chance would suggest. Looking forward, essentially the only way to be "unlucky" is to use a die that isn't fair in a way that hurts the player (i.e., rolls low). To the extent that certain rolls matter much more than others (e.g., rolling for ability scores, or getting hit by save or die effects in 3.X), a player can have outcomes much luckier or unluckier than random chance would suggest, since even if you've had 3000 rolls, 30 of those rolls were by far the most important. There are people who can cheat at dice, but I doubt that anyone who can do this rolls worse on purpose, and it would be strange to accidentally develop a really precise die rolling method and not realize you were using it counter-productively. If that was true and you ever figured out that you could make Y face of the die tend to come out as the result when starting with X face of the die on top, simply shifting the initial face of the die would lead to the player doing much better than simple chance. [/QUOTE]
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