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Message: <blockquote data-quote="S'mon" data-source="post: 3898286" data-attributes="member: 463">If you want a realistic/plausible approach to future conflict, look at Samuel Huntington's The Clash of Civilisations (1996), especially the section on the dynamics of wars along civilisational fault lines.  Re the USA, while civil war seems unlikely, the likeliest possibility is as a result of continued mass Latin American immigration (esp Mexican) the USA becomes a 'torn country' divided between Anglo-Western and Hispanic-Mexican civilisations.  California is the most likely flashpoint, as noted above.  While Mexican/Aztlan separatism is possible, it's equally likely that Anglo-majority areas attempt to secede from Hispanic-majority California, causing internal conflict, and a federal US govt conflicted over which side to support.  "But the question is how to get there in such a way that you don't offend everyone? "'Everyone'?  Obviously you will offend *someone* in today's offense-happy society.Future war is likely to be low intensity/4th generation - see Martin Van Creveld's 'The Transformation of War' (1991), and  <a href="http://d-n-i.net/" target="_blank">http://d-n-i.net/</a> - not massed armoured formations clashing Kursk or Gulf War I style.  Think Yugoslavia in the 1990s, or at a lower tempo the Troubles in my home country of Northern Ireland.</blockquote>