Upgrade your account to a Community Supporter account and remove most of the site ads.
Enchanted Trinkets Complete--a hardcover book containing over 500 magic items for your D&D games!

Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="prosfilaes" data-source="post: 5729421" data-attributes="member: 40166">There's no amount of data that is guaranteed to lead you to a more accurate idea of the temperature in August. But let's get more specific:Let's say you want the average temperature on Imdr Regio in August. I can go with my Ray Bradbury-guided assumptions and call it 35 °C. Or I can take the one sample measurement taken October 18, 1967 somewhere on the same planet and say that the average temperature on Imdr Regio in August is somewhere near 500 °C (sample measurement taken by Venera 4 on Venus.) Do you argue that I should stick with my assumption?Let's say you want the average high temperature in Yaroslavl in November. Go ahead, make your assumptions. I heard -20°C from one corner, and 15 °C from another.  I'd much rather take the one data point, that the high temperature in Yaroslavl yesterday was 2 °C and extrapolate from there. And what do you know; my randomly chosen city averages −0.2 °C in November. Maybe if I lived in Yaroslavl, maybe if I knew where it was, I could have done as well with the data I knew already.I randomly picked another city, Bakersfield. High temperature yesterday of 23 °C and an average Nov high temp of 18.5. Izmir; 14 and 19. Can't find data for Hannau or San Marino. Lisbon; 22 and 18. Lima; 21 and 21.9. Brisbane; 27 and 27.7. Kampala; 28 and 27. Provo, 10 and 9. With just yesterday's weather, we've got a standard deviation of 3.1°C , which is a lot better than I'd expect from someone's assumptions about world weather.Back to the subject at hand, one of the thing that motivates my assumption that Pathfinder is doing about as well as D&D is the data that Neoncon had more Pathfinder Society games than Living Forgotten Realms. As data, I'm sure people will tear into it, but I don't understand how it suddenly becomes less valuable when it stops being part of my assumptions and I lay it out on the table.</blockquote>

Verification