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Can computers predict which movies will flop?
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<blockquote data-quote="Desdichado" data-source="post: 2788972" data-attributes="member: 2205"><p>Pretty good for 2005--I think <em>The Island</em> was the only one I was wrong on for movies that I saw and/or paid any attention to, anyway. I'm surprised that that didn't do better than it did, especially since buzz from folks who <em>did</em> see it was pretty positive.</p><p></p><p>My most recent prediction vis-a-vis Hollywood mindset vs. mainstream America: <em>Brokeback Mountain</em> is not a movie that mainstream America wants to see. Because of the critical buzz and controversial subject matter, it'll do a brisk business the first few weeks from either the sympathetic portion of the audience, or just people who want to see what all the hullaballoo is about, but after that, ticket sales will remain low but steady. Given that it's a relatively low budget "romance" movie, and not a blockbuster, it'll be modestly successful enough, though. But that's a great example of a "Hollywood" movie that reflects tastes and values of Hollywood itself, but not of mainstream America, in my opinion. It won't be a huge hit.</p><p></p><p>C'mon; you can't pay enough for wisdom like that... <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f609.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" data-smilie="2"data-shortname=";)" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Desdichado, post: 2788972, member: 2205"] Pretty good for 2005--I think [i]The Island[/i] was the only one I was wrong on for movies that I saw and/or paid any attention to, anyway. I'm surprised that that didn't do better than it did, especially since buzz from folks who [i]did[/i] see it was pretty positive. My most recent prediction vis-a-vis Hollywood mindset vs. mainstream America: [i]Brokeback Mountain[/i] is not a movie that mainstream America wants to see. Because of the critical buzz and controversial subject matter, it'll do a brisk business the first few weeks from either the sympathetic portion of the audience, or just people who want to see what all the hullaballoo is about, but after that, ticket sales will remain low but steady. Given that it's a relatively low budget "romance" movie, and not a blockbuster, it'll be modestly successful enough, though. But that's a great example of a "Hollywood" movie that reflects tastes and values of Hollywood itself, but not of mainstream America, in my opinion. It won't be a huge hit. C'mon; you can't pay enough for wisdom like that... ;) [/QUOTE]
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