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Can computers predict which movies will flop?
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<blockquote data-quote="Desdichado" data-source="post: 2789621" data-attributes="member: 2205"><p>Hmmm... Alright, I'll put my money where my mouth is. But I don't know all of those movies mentioned, having not seen a teaser/trailer or poster, or heard any buzz, so for those I've simply ignored them...</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Munich -- Moderately successful. Since this doesn't look like a really big budget movie (although I could be wrong there) it'll be a good investment anyway.<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The Producers -- Moderate success. On Broadway this has done very well, and lots of folks will want to see it for that reason alone to see what the big deal is. Not a blockbuster though.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Rumor Has It... -- Moderately successful, but this is a low budget sex-comedy, so that's within expectations.<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Fun with Dick and Jane -- Based on what I've seen of it so far (not much) I think this will do well enough. It depends a lot on things I don't know about it, though, like is it actually funny or not. The concept's OK, though.<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Cheaper by the Dozen 2 -- Very minor hit, edging towards bomb. It depends on the budget if this is successful or not, because I don't predict big sales. Although it may pick up a lot of folks looking for a family movie and not seeing many other options in theaters at the moment; that could give it some extra legs.<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The New World -- Bomb. Looks too PC and overtly Oscar ambitious, which tends to turn off mainstream audiences. Of course, that could be a function of poor marketing, but I don't see this one getting anyone excited. The delays in release are another bad sign that editors are struggling to make a decent movie out of a bunch of film that's drek. Or am I mixing this up with some other movie; it has had delays in the release date, hasn't it?<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">King Kong -- it'll be a hit. People will see it on name (both the King Kong name and Peter Jackson name) alone. It'll need to be, though--with a budget like it has, it'll have to make crazy money to be profitable. Based on early feedback, it just might be good enough to do it, too.</li> </ul></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Desdichado, post: 2789621, member: 2205"] Hmmm... Alright, I'll put my money where my mouth is. But I don't know all of those movies mentioned, having not seen a teaser/trailer or poster, or heard any buzz, so for those I've simply ignored them... [list] [*]Munich -- Moderately successful. Since this doesn't look like a really big budget movie (although I could be wrong there) it'll be a good investment anyway. [*]The Producers -- Moderate success. On Broadway this has done very well, and lots of folks will want to see it for that reason alone to see what the big deal is. Not a blockbuster though. [*]Rumor Has It... -- Moderately successful, but this is a low budget sex-comedy, so that's within expectations. [*]Fun with Dick and Jane -- Based on what I've seen of it so far (not much) I think this will do well enough. It depends a lot on things I don't know about it, though, like is it actually funny or not. The concept's OK, though. [*]Cheaper by the Dozen 2 -- Very minor hit, edging towards bomb. It depends on the budget if this is successful or not, because I don't predict big sales. Although it may pick up a lot of folks looking for a family movie and not seeing many other options in theaters at the moment; that could give it some extra legs. [*]The New World -- Bomb. Looks too PC and overtly Oscar ambitious, which tends to turn off mainstream audiences. Of course, that could be a function of poor marketing, but I don't see this one getting anyone excited. The delays in release are another bad sign that editors are struggling to make a decent movie out of a bunch of film that's drek. Or am I mixing this up with some other movie; it has had delays in the release date, hasn't it? [*]King Kong -- it'll be a hit. People will see it on name (both the King Kong name and Peter Jackson name) alone. It'll need to be, though--with a budget like it has, it'll have to make crazy money to be profitable. Based on early feedback, it just might be good enough to do it, too. [/list] [/QUOTE]
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