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Can computers predict which movies will flop?
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<blockquote data-quote="Mark CMG" data-source="post: 2791410" data-attributes="member: 10479"><p>You've left yourself more wiggle room than a garter snake slipping through a hulu-hoop. <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f600.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":D" title="Big grin :D" data-smilie="8"data-shortname=":D" /></p><p></p><p>Let's put some numbers on each film and let's see how we do, shall we? Let's see if we can guess within two million dollars on the Domestic Total Gross of each of these films through their first theatre run per <a href="http://www.boxofficemojo.com/" target="_blank">Box Office Mojo</a>. But let's also put a 26 week cap, just in case some little theatre somewhere is still dragging one along to make it's budget back, ALA Cinderella Man (which is a fine film, I'm sure, but too long "in theatres" IMO). Here's my numbers -</p><p></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">King Kong - $210,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Munich - $175,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Fun with Dick and Jane - $110,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The Producers - $105,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Wolf Creek - $90,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Cheaper by the Dozen 2 - $75,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Rumor Has It... - $50,000,000<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The New World - $45,000,000</li> </ul><p></p><p></p><p>Seriously, the most difficult films I find predicting (straight up as a flop or success) are things like <em>Saw II</em>, <em>The Dukes of Hazzard</em>, <em>March of the Penguins</em>, and <em>Herbie: Fully Loaded</em> which, to me, are doing inexplicably well.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mark CMG, post: 2791410, member: 10479"] You've left yourself more wiggle room than a garter snake slipping through a hulu-hoop. :D Let's put some numbers on each film and let's see how we do, shall we? Let's see if we can guess within two million dollars on the Domestic Total Gross of each of these films through their first theatre run per [url=http://www.boxofficemojo.com/]Box Office Mojo[/url]. But let's also put a 26 week cap, just in case some little theatre somewhere is still dragging one along to make it's budget back, ALA Cinderella Man (which is a fine film, I'm sure, but too long "in theatres" IMO). Here's my numbers - [list] [*]King Kong - $210,000,000 [*]Munich - $175,000,000 [*]Fun with Dick and Jane - $110,000,000 [*]The Producers - $105,000,000 [*]Wolf Creek - $90,000,000 [*]Cheaper by the Dozen 2 - $75,000,000 [*]Rumor Has It... - $50,000,000 [*]The New World - $45,000,000 [/list] Seriously, the most difficult films I find predicting (straight up as a flop or success) are things like [i]Saw II[/i], [i]The Dukes of Hazzard[/i], [i]March of the Penguins[/i], and [i]Herbie: Fully Loaded[/i] which, to me, are doing inexplicably well. [/QUOTE]
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