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Message: <blockquote data-quote="drothgery" data-source="post: 3791213" data-attributes="member: 360">Probably two. My guess is that LSU and Florida each lose a random game to someone else, then split the regular season matchup and the SEC title game. I usually predict the SEC champ will lose two games. It seems a reasonable guess. When you've got a conference where either almost no one bothers to play offense (if you're a Pac 10/Big East fan) or they play great defense (if you're an SEC/Big Ten fan), you get a lot of close games, and when you've got a lot of close games, sometimes you get upsets.It depends what everyone else does. Of the current top 5, Oklahoma's probably got the best chance of going undefeated; right now, it'd be shocking for them to lose a regular season game to anyone other than Texas, and they're going to be decent-sized favorites over Texas.I think the way to bet is that the SEC champ probably can't jump a BCS conference team with a better record for the title game, but probably will jump one with the same record unless it's Southern Cal. It's pretty likely that if there are two or fewer undefeated BCS conference teams, they will make the title game, even if it's (to pick the most unikely example possible from current major conference unbeatens) UConn and Kansas.BCS teams that look they could very well go undefeated, but could get jumped by a one-loss SEC / Pac 10 champ (and possibly by a one-loss West Virginia, assuming that they didn't have a head-to-head win):Boston College or  Clemson from the ACCRutgers or South Florida from the Big East More often than not, at least one of the participants in the BCS title game had a loss going in. Matches between two undefeated teams ala USC/Texas 2005 are very, very rare things. I'd guess, all things being equal, the pollsters would break ties among one-loss teams in this order...1. Southern Cal2. SEC champ3. Oklahoma/Texas4. Ohio State5. West Virginia6. non-USC Pac 10 Champ7. non-Ohio State Big Ten champ8. ACC champ9. non-OK/TX Big 12 champ10. non-WVU Big East champ11. non-BCS undefetaed team (actually, probably would need a two-loss advantage)I'm still not quite sure why SEC fans are so bitter over that. Yeah, Auburn probably should have been there instead of Oklahoma. No, it would not have mattered. Nobody was beating that USC team short of an NFL team. And didn't SC rather convincingly beat down Auburn the year before and the year after?Six major conferences. You do remember what happened the last time a Big East team played an SEC team in a BCS game, right? Unless you're talking about kicking the ACC to the curb, then that's alright...</blockquote>

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