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<blockquote data-quote="drothgery" data-source="post: 1880941" data-attributes="member: 360"><p><strong>Week of 11/26 </strong> </p><p></p><p><em>Revisions</em></p><p></p><p>The participants:</p><p></p><p>Confrence Champions (*projected)</p><p></p><p>USC (Pac 10, BCS #1)</p><p>Oklahoma (Big 12, BCS #2)* [1]</p><p>Auburn (SEC, BCS #3)* [2]</p><p>Utah (MWC, BCS #6)</p><p>Boise St (WAC, BCS #8)</p><p>Louisville (CUSA, BCS #9)</p><p>Miami (ACC, BCS #10)* [3]</p><p>Michigan (Big 10, BCS #14)</p><p>Pitt (Big East, BCS #23)* [4]</p><p>Miami (Ohio) (MAC, unranked)* [5]</p><p>Noth Texas (Sun Belt, unranked)</p><p></p><p>[1] Oklahoma will play Colarado in the Big 12 Championship game</p><p>[2] Auburn will play Tennessee in the SEC Championship game</p><p>[3] The Miami/Virginia Tech game is effectively the ACC championship game.</p><p>[4] If Pitt loses to South Florida, they could drop enough for Syracuse to win the Big East based on a head-to-head win over Pitt.</p><p>[5] Miami (Ohio) will play Toledo in the MAC championship game.</p><p></p><p>At large teams</p><p></p><p>Cal (BCS #4)</p><p>Texas (BCS #5)</p><p>Georgia (BCS #7)</p><p>LSU (BCS #11)</p><p>Virginia Tech (BCS #12)</p><p></p><p>Next 5</p><p></p><p>Iowa (BCS #11)</p><p>Tennessee (BCS #15)</p><p>Florida State (BCS #16)</p><p>Wisconsin (BCS #17)</p><p>Virginia (BCS #18)</p><p></p><p>* * * *</p><p></p><p><em>"Playoff" Seeding</em></p><p></p><p>East</p><p>1 Oklahoma (Big 12, BCS #2)</p><p>2 Auburn (SEC, BCS #3)</p><p>3 Georgia (at large, BCS #7)</p><p>4 Louisville (CUSA, BCS #9)</p><p>5 Miami (ACC, BCS #10) </p><p>6 Virginia Tech (ACC, BCS #12)</p><p>7 Pitt (Big East, BCS #23) </p><p>8 Miami (Ohio)/Toledo (MAC, unranked)</p><p></p><p>West</p><p>1 USC (Pac 10, BCS #1)</p><p>2 Cal (at large, BCS #4)</p><p>3 Texas (at large, BCS #5)</p><p>4 Utah (MWC, BCS #6) </p><p>5 Boise St (WAC, BCS #8)</p><p>6 LSU (at large, BCS #12) </p><p>7 Michigan (Big 10, BCS #14)</p><p>8 Noth Texas (Sun Belt, unranked)</p><p></p><p>Round 1 games (Dec 11, at campus sites)</p><p></p><p>East</p><p>Game A - #8 Miami (Ohio) at #1 Oklahoma</p><p>Game B - #5 Miami at #4 Louisville </p><p></p><p>Game C - #7 Pitt at #2 Auburn</p><p>Game D - #6 Virginia Tech at #3 Georgia</p><p></p><p>West</p><p>Game A - #8 North Texas at #1 USC</p><p>Game B - #5 Boise St at #4 Utah </p><p></p><p>Game C - #7 Michigan at #2 Cal</p><p>Game D - #6 LSU at #3 Texas</p><p></p><p><em>Commentary</em></p><p></p><p>A lot of possibilities were eliminated this week, and only the Big East became more confusing; the ACC could have, but didn't. However, the current set of teams doesn't make a nice East/West split; there are two central time zone teams that have to be slotted in the East due to the 1-2-3-4 rule, and there are two East teams among the at-large teams.</p><p></p><p>Minor changes that could happen: </p><p></p><p>It's likely that several teams will pass Boise State in the BCS rankings, which could change seeding. BCS spots 7-15 are very fluid at this time, and shifts there could move teams up or down a seed. It's possible that Syracuse could win the Big East; they'd be seeded below the MAC champ.</p><p></p><p>Major changes that could happen: If there are no other upsets, the loser of the Miami/VT game should drop below Iowa in the BCS rankings, and I won't have to keep an Eastern time zone team in the West. The winner should move above Louisville in the BCS rankings. The current bracket breaks the "time zone rule", because I give the "1-2-3-4" rule precedence, but the final bracket should not.</p><p></p><p>An upset in the SEC title game, an upset the Big 12 title game, and/or a loss by USC (to UCLA) could have far-ranging impact, as the (currently higher-ranked) losers could gain at-large spots, but it's anyone's guess how the rankings would play out. Also, Colorado would need to be placed in the West by the "time zone rule", and Tennessee would need to be placed in the East; Auburn and Oklahoma are both Central time zone teams that can be shifted if the 1-2-3-4 rule doesn't apply to them. If both Oklahoma and Auburn lose, BCS #1 USC would play (likely) BCS #2 Cal in the West final, rather than the championship game, but this happens in basketball all the time, and I don't think it's a major concern.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="drothgery, post: 1880941, member: 360"] [B]Week of 11/26 [/B] [I]Revisions[/I] The participants: Confrence Champions (*projected) USC (Pac 10, BCS #1) Oklahoma (Big 12, BCS #2)* [1] Auburn (SEC, BCS #3)* [2] Utah (MWC, BCS #6) Boise St (WAC, BCS #8) Louisville (CUSA, BCS #9) Miami (ACC, BCS #10)* [3] Michigan (Big 10, BCS #14) Pitt (Big East, BCS #23)* [4] Miami (Ohio) (MAC, unranked)* [5] Noth Texas (Sun Belt, unranked) [1] Oklahoma will play Colarado in the Big 12 Championship game [2] Auburn will play Tennessee in the SEC Championship game [3] The Miami/Virginia Tech game is effectively the ACC championship game. [4] If Pitt loses to South Florida, they could drop enough for Syracuse to win the Big East based on a head-to-head win over Pitt. [5] Miami (Ohio) will play Toledo in the MAC championship game. At large teams Cal (BCS #4) Texas (BCS #5) Georgia (BCS #7) LSU (BCS #11) Virginia Tech (BCS #12) Next 5 Iowa (BCS #11) Tennessee (BCS #15) Florida State (BCS #16) Wisconsin (BCS #17) Virginia (BCS #18) * * * * [I]"Playoff" Seeding[/I] East 1 Oklahoma (Big 12, BCS #2) 2 Auburn (SEC, BCS #3) 3 Georgia (at large, BCS #7) 4 Louisville (CUSA, BCS #9) 5 Miami (ACC, BCS #10) 6 Virginia Tech (ACC, BCS #12) 7 Pitt (Big East, BCS #23) 8 Miami (Ohio)/Toledo (MAC, unranked) West 1 USC (Pac 10, BCS #1) 2 Cal (at large, BCS #4) 3 Texas (at large, BCS #5) 4 Utah (MWC, BCS #6) 5 Boise St (WAC, BCS #8) 6 LSU (at large, BCS #12) 7 Michigan (Big 10, BCS #14) 8 Noth Texas (Sun Belt, unranked) Round 1 games (Dec 11, at campus sites) East Game A - #8 Miami (Ohio) at #1 Oklahoma Game B - #5 Miami at #4 Louisville Game C - #7 Pitt at #2 Auburn Game D - #6 Virginia Tech at #3 Georgia West Game A - #8 North Texas at #1 USC Game B - #5 Boise St at #4 Utah Game C - #7 Michigan at #2 Cal Game D - #6 LSU at #3 Texas [I]Commentary[/I] A lot of possibilities were eliminated this week, and only the Big East became more confusing; the ACC could have, but didn't. However, the current set of teams doesn't make a nice East/West split; there are two central time zone teams that have to be slotted in the East due to the 1-2-3-4 rule, and there are two East teams among the at-large teams. Minor changes that could happen: It's likely that several teams will pass Boise State in the BCS rankings, which could change seeding. BCS spots 7-15 are very fluid at this time, and shifts there could move teams up or down a seed. It's possible that Syracuse could win the Big East; they'd be seeded below the MAC champ. Major changes that could happen: If there are no other upsets, the loser of the Miami/VT game should drop below Iowa in the BCS rankings, and I won't have to keep an Eastern time zone team in the West. The winner should move above Louisville in the BCS rankings. The current bracket breaks the "time zone rule", because I give the "1-2-3-4" rule precedence, but the final bracket should not. An upset in the SEC title game, an upset the Big 12 title game, and/or a loss by USC (to UCLA) could have far-ranging impact, as the (currently higher-ranked) losers could gain at-large spots, but it's anyone's guess how the rankings would play out. Also, Colorado would need to be placed in the West by the "time zone rule", and Tennessee would need to be placed in the East; Auburn and Oklahoma are both Central time zone teams that can be shifted if the 1-2-3-4 rule doesn't apply to them. If both Oklahoma and Auburn lose, BCS #1 USC would play (likely) BCS #2 Cal in the West final, rather than the championship game, but this happens in basketball all the time, and I don't think it's a major concern. [/QUOTE]
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