Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="Lord Twig" data-source="post: 8248327" data-attributes="member: 31754">As promised I went back and cleared up some mistakes and there is good and bad news. The bad news is that I was hoping to make the monk's ki last a couple more rounds by only doing a flurry on a successful stun, but that does lower the DPR for that round to below the baseline. The good news is if you average it with a full round of attacks against a stunned target it brings the average back up over the baseline. More good news is that if you just use Flurry of Blows every turn and Stunning Fist once per turn, it brings the DPR easily back over the baseline and even higher when averaged with a fully stunned round.For reference, just using Flurry of blows by itself does 25.6 DPR, but has a 0% chance to stun.So here's how the math breaks down using my previously proposed method of trying to stun on the fist two attacks and only using Flurry of Blows if a stun sticks.32.5% chance to hit the first time and stun, then the rest of the attacks with advantage:9.725+27.68=37.405x.325= 12.15662532.5% chance to hit the first time, fail to stun, the just attack twice more with Martial Arts:9.725+12.8=22.525x.325= 7.32062511.375% chance to miss the first time, then hit the second time and stun, then use Flurry of Blows:0+9.725+18.45=28.175x.11375= 3.2049062511.375% chance to miss the first time, then hit the second time and fail to stun, then just make one extra attack with Martial Arts:0+9.725+6.4=16.125x.11375= 1.8342187512.25% chance to miss the first two times then just attack once with Martial Arts:0+0+6.4=6.4x.1225 = 0.784So on a round the creature does not start stunned the DPR is 25.300375If the creature starts the round stunned the DPR is 36.91So if you add them together, divide by two, that's 31.1051875. We'll round to 31.If you just flurry every round, but still only try to stun once on either the first or second attack, the monk can do this for 6 rounds and here is the breakdown:32.5% 9.725+27.68=37.405 = 12.15662532.5% 9.725+19.2=28.925 = 9.40062511.375% 0+9.725+18.45=28.175 = 3.2049062511.375% 0+9.725+12.8=22.525 = 2.5622187512.25% 0+0+12.8=12.8 = 1.568Total = 28.892375Averaged with the DPR of a stunned round of 36.91 this comes to 32.9011875, round to 33.</blockquote>

Verification