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CONAN LIVES! Info on the new Conan RPG
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<blockquote data-quote="N01H3r3" data-source="post: 6686407" data-attributes="member: 6799909"><p>Right, it appears I made some mistakes on my previous summation of the odds for different difficulties - I was working them out off the top of my head, because I couldn't find the more precise numbers at the time. I've also found values for higher numbers of dice, to show the impact. I'll use 2, 3, and 4 dice to illustrate here - most tests in my home Mutant Chronicles campaign, and during my playtests and demos of both Infinity and Conan use those numbers of dice more often than not (buying more than that is extremely rare, though it does happen occasionally for particularly desperate situations).</p><p></p><p>Again, I'm using the numerically-convenient example of a character with an Attribute of 8, Expertise +2, and Focus 2, because it provides the easiest numbers to work with. Each d20 rolled for this character has a 50% chance of producing no successes, a 40% chance of producing 1 success, and a 10% chance of producing two successes.</p><p></p><p>For a difficulty of 1, the character has a 75% chance of success on 2d20, an 87.5% chance on 3d20, or a 93.75% chance on 4d20.</p><p></p><p>For a difficulty of 2, the character has a 39% chance on 2d20, a 57.5% chance on 3d20, or a 68.75% chance on 4d20.</p><p></p><p>For difficulty 3, the chances are 9% on 2d20, 26% on 3d20, and 43.75% on 4d20.</p><p></p><p>For difficulty 4, the chances are 1% on 2d20, 7.6% on 3d20, and 18.2% on 4d20.</p><p></p><p>For difficulty 5, the chances are are 0 on 2d20, 1.3% on 3d20, and 12.04% on 4d20.</p><p></p><p>This does not account for abilities that characters may possess that grant them rerolls on one or more d20 they roll, or for the peculiarities of abilities that grant a bonus d20 if the character has already scored at least one success (as the odds of that are slightly different due to the extra die being conditional).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="N01H3r3, post: 6686407, member: 6799909"] Right, it appears I made some mistakes on my previous summation of the odds for different difficulties - I was working them out off the top of my head, because I couldn't find the more precise numbers at the time. I've also found values for higher numbers of dice, to show the impact. I'll use 2, 3, and 4 dice to illustrate here - most tests in my home Mutant Chronicles campaign, and during my playtests and demos of both Infinity and Conan use those numbers of dice more often than not (buying more than that is extremely rare, though it does happen occasionally for particularly desperate situations). Again, I'm using the numerically-convenient example of a character with an Attribute of 8, Expertise +2, and Focus 2, because it provides the easiest numbers to work with. Each d20 rolled for this character has a 50% chance of producing no successes, a 40% chance of producing 1 success, and a 10% chance of producing two successes. For a difficulty of 1, the character has a 75% chance of success on 2d20, an 87.5% chance on 3d20, or a 93.75% chance on 4d20. For a difficulty of 2, the character has a 39% chance on 2d20, a 57.5% chance on 3d20, or a 68.75% chance on 4d20. For difficulty 3, the chances are 9% on 2d20, 26% on 3d20, and 43.75% on 4d20. For difficulty 4, the chances are 1% on 2d20, 7.6% on 3d20, and 18.2% on 4d20. For difficulty 5, the chances are are 0 on 2d20, 1.3% on 3d20, and 12.04% on 4d20. This does not account for abilities that characters may possess that grant them rerolls on one or more d20 they roll, or for the peculiarities of abilities that grant a bonus d20 if the character has already scored at least one success (as the odds of that are slightly different due to the extra die being conditional). [/QUOTE]
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