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Critical Role Kickstarter Predition Game: Guess the Funding Outcome (GTFO)
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<blockquote data-quote="CleverNickName" data-source="post: 7574692" data-attributes="member: 50987"><p>I got bored, and tired of waiting. So I was tinkering around with some data from a handful of successful Kickstarters in the past, and copied-pasted it all into Excel. Then I graphed it, because I'm a huge nerd. Then I cast <em>growth of nerd</em> on myself, and fit an equation to that graph. Then I solved it using the expected number of backers and the average amount that each backer pledges.</p><p></p><p>So I'm putting my guess in at the weirdly-specific amount of:</p><p></p><p>$20,612,408.57</p><p></p><p>Let's see how close I get to the right answer, with only 3 days of data. <img src="http://www.enworld.org/forum/images/smilies/paranoid.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":uhoh:" title="Paranoid :uhoh:" data-shortname=":uhoh:" /> If I'm right, nobody will be more surprised than me. (And also if I'm right, that will mean this is the highest-funded Kickstarter of all time.) Wish me luck!</p><p></p><p>Oh, and if I win, I will donate the prize to the next runner-up.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CleverNickName, post: 7574692, member: 50987"] I got bored, and tired of waiting. So I was tinkering around with some data from a handful of successful Kickstarters in the past, and copied-pasted it all into Excel. Then I graphed it, because I'm a huge nerd. Then I cast [I]growth of nerd[/I] on myself, and fit an equation to that graph. Then I solved it using the expected number of backers and the average amount that each backer pledges. So I'm putting my guess in at the weirdly-specific amount of: $20,612,408.57 Let's see how close I get to the right answer, with only 3 days of data. :uhoh: If I'm right, nobody will be more surprised than me. (And also if I'm right, that will mean this is the highest-funded Kickstarter of all time.) Wish me luck! Oh, and if I win, I will donate the prize to the next runner-up. [/QUOTE]
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Critical Role Kickstarter Predition Game: Guess the Funding Outcome (GTFO)
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