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Critical Role Kickstarter Predition Game: Guess the Funding Outcome (GTFO)
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<blockquote data-quote="CleverNickName" data-source="post: 7578141" data-attributes="member: 50987"><p>ONE WEEK UPDATE:</p><p></p><p>$7,160,748 pledged</p><p>52,605 backers</p><p>36 days to go</p><p></p><p>Yesterday was a rough day for the Kickstarter. (Okay okay, if "rough" means you <em>only</em> raise $86,000.00. That's significantly more than my household's entire annual income.) It was the first time they had earned less than $100K in a single day (they had a $10,000 backer drop out) and it's skewing the numbers a bit. Now when I plug in the numbers from the last week into my Excel spreadsheet, it predicts that Sadras will win...but only because Zaardnar overbet by less than $4K.</p><p></p><p>But all models lie, and mine lies so much it could run for office.</p><p></p><p>I expect the numbers will rally today and tomorrow, as they get closer to the $7.5M stretch goal. But the Kickstarter is definitely losing momentum. Don't get me wrong; it's not <em>doomed</em> or anything. I'm confident they will beat all stretch goals. (It just won't be as easy as last week suggested it would be.)</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CleverNickName, post: 7578141, member: 50987"] ONE WEEK UPDATE: $7,160,748 pledged 52,605 backers 36 days to go Yesterday was a rough day for the Kickstarter. (Okay okay, if "rough" means you [I]only[/I] raise $86,000.00. That's significantly more than my household's entire annual income.) It was the first time they had earned less than $100K in a single day (they had a $10,000 backer drop out) and it's skewing the numbers a bit. Now when I plug in the numbers from the last week into my Excel spreadsheet, it predicts that Sadras will win...but only because Zaardnar overbet by less than $4K. But all models lie, and mine lies so much it could run for office. I expect the numbers will rally today and tomorrow, as they get closer to the $7.5M stretch goal. But the Kickstarter is definitely losing momentum. Don't get me wrong; it's not [I]doomed[/I] or anything. I'm confident they will beat all stretch goals. (It just won't be as easy as last week suggested it would be.) [/QUOTE]
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Critical Role Kickstarter Predition Game: Guess the Funding Outcome (GTFO)
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