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Message: <blockquote data-quote="NotAYakk" data-source="post: 7941255" data-attributes="member: 72555">Washington State has 4 independent deaths (counting the one nursing home as one event) and 270 detected; they are missing 90%+ of their cases.<s>UK appears to be on top of it actually.  1.6% death rate to infected is a sign they may be near saturation testing.  The 6 deaths*80 multiplier is 480, and they have 324 positive tests; that is the right ballpark.  99% of tested are negative, which also looks like "saturation tests" and not just testing people who show up extremely sick and/or are travel-related to hot spots.</s>France has 33 deaths and 1800 detected cases.  They are missing 90% of their infected.Spain has 35 deaths and 1700 detected cases.  They are missing 90% of their infected.Germany has 2 deaths and 1100 detected cases.  Looks good so far.California has 2 deaths and 160 cases.  Suspicious.NY+NJ has 1 death and 180 cases.  Also Suspicious.So expect things to get bad in France, Spain and Washington State next.  France and Spain if they shut down everything today will still have a bad time.  Washington State could be either side of the edge.By failing to social distance you can be killing people."Mild" cases include lung scarring, 6+ months of rehab, etc.If it turns out that economic damage is more than biological, it is because people did change their behaviour.  This disease is on track for 4-6% death rate among infected and 50% of population infected by christmas without measures.With measures, 1% death rate, and less than 1% of the population infected.Read what is going on in Italien hospitals.  Look at satallite pictures of Iran.  Read the description of "mild" case (does not need O2 mask?!)</blockquote>

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