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Message: <blockquote data-quote="NotAYakk" data-source="post: 7945496" data-attributes="member: 72555">"The level that hospitals can handle" is an outbreak spread out over about 10 years.80,000 ICU beds in USA (as an example country).  Approx 5% of infected need it.  Infected need it for approx 20 days.  So 80,000 / .05  * 20 = can handle 80,000 new people getting this disease per day, if 100% of ICU beds (including Federal reserve ones) are used only for this.300,000,000/80,000 = 3750 days =~ 10 years.So you can do better if you mass produce ICU beds, but then you run into Doctor and Nurse shortages, which are harder to mass produce.  And most existing ICU beds are being used today to save people's lives.You need to do better than "keeping infection below the point where hospitals can handle it".  Because we have, on the population level, 0 ICU beds per person within rounding error.  And this disease needs closer to 1 ICU bed per person.And by "we" I mean "every country in the world has 0 ICU beds  per person within rounding error."(ICU beds in this case mean respirator equipped beds, or more serious, like the ones who breathe for you without using your lungs)People keep on saying "well maybe this isn't that bad".  I get it.  I don't want it to be this bad either.</blockquote>