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Message: <blockquote data-quote="NotAYakk" data-source="post: 7950845" data-attributes="member: 72555">(a) they actually executed social distancing.  (b) China did intense connection sharing, (c) China did a wartime level effort to contain it.Japan?  They are using masks everywhere and not phyiscally greeting and lots of hand sanitizer, and shutdowns at hot spots.  That is lowering their exponential curve.Because deaths and hospitalizations are delayed by 1-3 weeks from the point of changing habits, having a lower background growth rate makes responding with measures more effective.In NYC, the growth rate of deaths is 33% per day.  With a 20 day delay between infection and death, that means that when 10 people die, there are already 3000 people infected who will die in the next month, because 1.33^20 is 300.If your background rate of spread is 10% instead of 33%, 10 deaths instead grows to 1.1^20 or 67 over the next 20 days with no new infections.  So in introduce measures, starve the outbreak, and over the next month deaths are moderate.In the case of NYC, it is 300 deaths, and it was growing 33% per day.  So 10,000s of deaths is sadly plausible.  Even if you stopped every new infection.Understand that a background 10% growth rate meansThey can detect it spreading and strange it of hosts.This is a lie.1000s of people are dead.  What garbage are you talking about.This kind of messages are killing people.Stop killing people.</blockquote>