Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="briggart" data-source="post: 7952870" data-attributes="member: 6805135">I feel it has little to do with the government and more with lockdown and health system being overrun. It's the same thing here in Italy: resources are limited (it's getting better, but we are still in the thick of it) so tests are given mostly to people admitted to the hospitals, which are those already in very bad conditions. A lot of people are passing away at home or anyway before they can get tested, so they don't figure in the official statistics for covid-19.I recently read an analysis of the death rate in Nembro, a small town which is one of the worst affected area of Italy. During Jan-Mar, ~30 people positive to the virus died there. The historical number of deaths for Jan-Mar period is ~35. The actual number of deaths since beginning of the year is over 150, so there were an additional ~90 deaths which are very likely due to the virus but did not enter the official statistics. In other words, the official numbers there accounted for ~1/4th of the actual deaths. This is not a general result, other areas are not showing such a large discrepancy, but once you enter full disaster mitigation mode, the numbers become sketchy everywhere.</blockquote>