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D&D and the rising pandemic
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<blockquote data-quote="FrogReaver" data-source="post: 7970793" data-attributes="member: 6795602"><p>I guess the question there is how long can an economy be shut down before a large portion of people start not being able to afford essentials. At that point the cure is worse than the disease - but I'm not sure how long that actually takes.</p><p></p><p>Speaking globally - any length of an economic shutdown is probably more deadly for poor countries than the virus itself.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Sure but every month you shut down also likely means people in your country are that much closer to running out of essentials and it's not like you can just flip a switch and bring the whole economy roaring to life again.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>A very good point. Though I'm not sure how much that is actually happening at least in the U.S.</p><p></p><p>I'd make an educated guess that at least 1/100 people in the U.S. already have had covid-19. To reach herd immunity we would be looking at worst case of millions dead. However, if say 1/20 people have already had it then we are looking at a few hundred thousand dead if we stopped everything right now. Which really isn't that bad considering current estimates are at like 66,000 but given the last few days of data I expect that projection to increase further.</p><p></p><p>But perhaps the most important question at this time is how many people have had the virus that haven't yet been documented as having it.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>As in all things, the choices you make to minimize the downsides of 1 thing may amplify the downsides of another thing and at this point we really don't know long term what to be more afraid of.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FrogReaver, post: 7970793, member: 6795602"] I guess the question there is how long can an economy be shut down before a large portion of people start not being able to afford essentials. At that point the cure is worse than the disease - but I'm not sure how long that actually takes. Speaking globally - any length of an economic shutdown is probably more deadly for poor countries than the virus itself. Sure but every month you shut down also likely means people in your country are that much closer to running out of essentials and it's not like you can just flip a switch and bring the whole economy roaring to life again. A very good point. Though I'm not sure how much that is actually happening at least in the U.S. I'd make an educated guess that at least 1/100 people in the U.S. already have had covid-19. To reach herd immunity we would be looking at worst case of millions dead. However, if say 1/20 people have already had it then we are looking at a few hundred thousand dead if we stopped everything right now. Which really isn't that bad considering current estimates are at like 66,000 but given the last few days of data I expect that projection to increase further. But perhaps the most important question at this time is how many people have had the virus that haven't yet been documented as having it. As in all things, the choices you make to minimize the downsides of 1 thing may amplify the downsides of another thing and at this point we really don't know long term what to be more afraid of. [/QUOTE]
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