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D&D and the rising pandemic
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<blockquote data-quote="Umbran" data-source="post: 8190401" data-attributes="member: 177"><p>Um, yes, the virus follows typical patterns for a virus, as much as there is a "typical pattern". The behavior of the thing in the population is pretty well-understood at this point. I think you might misunderstand the purpose of using the triage model. </p><p></p><p>The vaccine distribution is not intended to target those most likely to <em>catch</em> the virus. It is not intended to somehow blunt the spread with targeted vaccination. With wide community spread, that's not possible. In this situation, you only slow the virus by generally vaccinating the population - picking one demographic or the other won't change the overall number of infections now.</p><p></p><p>The triage model is to protect those <em>most likely to die</em> if they get sick, then those whose labor is most necessary for communities to continue functioning. Those of us who are more likely to survive a bout of the thing, and who won't stop basic infrastructure if we get sick, can wait. </p><p></p><p>Now, as to what "health organizations" are doing. There are no particularly broad "health organizations" that have capability to manage such things in the US. Period. This required a unified approach by the Federal government, with which State level resources could interface. Without that Federal-level plan, the thing ends up a wasteful circus.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Temperature checks work with influenza because a person is apt to be contagious for at most a day before they show flu symptoms. Temperature checks are security theater for covid-19, because you can be contagious for several days before you develop a fever, if you ever develop a fever at all. Asymptomatic spread makes temperature checks for covid-19 nigh worthless.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Umbran, post: 8190401, member: 177"] Um, yes, the virus follows typical patterns for a virus, as much as there is a "typical pattern". The behavior of the thing in the population is pretty well-understood at this point. I think you might misunderstand the purpose of using the triage model. The vaccine distribution is not intended to target those most likely to [I]catch[/I] the virus. It is not intended to somehow blunt the spread with targeted vaccination. With wide community spread, that's not possible. In this situation, you only slow the virus by generally vaccinating the population - picking one demographic or the other won't change the overall number of infections now. The triage model is to protect those [I]most likely to die[/I] if they get sick, then those whose labor is most necessary for communities to continue functioning. Those of us who are more likely to survive a bout of the thing, and who won't stop basic infrastructure if we get sick, can wait. Now, as to what "health organizations" are doing. There are no particularly broad "health organizations" that have capability to manage such things in the US. Period. This required a unified approach by the Federal government, with which State level resources could interface. Without that Federal-level plan, the thing ends up a wasteful circus. Temperature checks work with influenza because a person is apt to be contagious for at most a day before they show flu symptoms. Temperature checks are security theater for covid-19, because you can be contagious for several days before you develop a fever, if you ever develop a fever at all. Asymptomatic spread makes temperature checks for covid-19 nigh worthless. [/QUOTE]
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