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<blockquote data-quote="Umbran" data-source="post: 8329567" data-attributes="member: 177"><p>Bill Maher is not what I'd call a solid journalist - his lead in, "It'd almost be conspiracy thinking to say it didn't start in the lab," is playing right into cognitive biases.</p><p></p><p>I am familiar with the scientists. That they invoke "that's not how science works," given their stance on Ivermectin is <em>laughable</em>. Ivermectin is a drug used for killing parasites - commonly heartworms in dogs and intestinal worms in cattle. They were supporting use of Ivermectin against covid-19 based on <em>no evidence</em>. Over 16 studies have been done on Ivermectin's use on this disease, none of which show significant signs of better patient outcomes.</p><p></p><p>Oh, the "we might expect a lab virus to do things wild viruses might not do..." That is such bullpucky. Evolution is what it is, the origin of the beast doesn't matter once it is in the wild, the forces on it are the same at that point.</p><p></p><p>The process they are talking about with viruses becoming less potent over time is a real one, but only on <em>evolutionary timescales</em>, decades, centuries, and millennia, not over the course of a single year. Over the short term, you see a "drunkard's walk" through all sorts of possibilities, some of which may well be worse.</p><p></p><p>And, overall, we see no <em>data</em> presented. We have two people asserting things without support, which comes off as "appeal to authority" to me, but then they allow key points to be mis-represented in their presentation. I am not convinced.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Umbran, post: 8329567, member: 177"] Bill Maher is not what I'd call a solid journalist - his lead in, "It'd almost be conspiracy thinking to say it didn't start in the lab," is playing right into cognitive biases. I am familiar with the scientists. That they invoke "that's not how science works," given their stance on Ivermectin is [I]laughable[/I]. Ivermectin is a drug used for killing parasites - commonly heartworms in dogs and intestinal worms in cattle. They were supporting use of Ivermectin against covid-19 based on [I]no evidence[/I]. Over 16 studies have been done on Ivermectin's use on this disease, none of which show significant signs of better patient outcomes. Oh, the "we might expect a lab virus to do things wild viruses might not do..." That is such bullpucky. Evolution is what it is, the origin of the beast doesn't matter once it is in the wild, the forces on it are the same at that point. The process they are talking about with viruses becoming less potent over time is a real one, but only on [I]evolutionary timescales[/I], decades, centuries, and millennia, not over the course of a single year. Over the short term, you see a "drunkard's walk" through all sorts of possibilities, some of which may well be worse. And, overall, we see no [I]data[/I] presented. We have two people asserting things without support, which comes off as "appeal to authority" to me, but then they allow key points to be mis-represented in their presentation. I am not convinced. [/QUOTE]
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