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<blockquote data-quote="NotAYakk" data-source="post: 8522993" data-attributes="member: 72555">Note that the death peak lags the infection peak.&nbsp; The faster Omicron infection peak means they overlap less.Infections peaked on Dec 17:[URL unfurl=&quot;true&quot;]https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/south-africa[/URL]Deaths peaked on Dec 26:[URL unfurl=&quot;true&quot;]https://www.samrc.ac.za/reports/report-weekly-deaths-south-africa[/URL]Baseline deaths are 10k/week.&nbsp; Delta peaks at 11k/week deaths excess; omicron at 3k/week deaths excess.The 3k/week is from a population already almost entirely infected by Delta and/or vaccinated.&nbsp; But the width of the spike is also shorter; I'd eyeball the total excess deaths in the Omicron spike at very roughly 10x smaller than their last Delta-driven wave.Omicron is &quot;less serious&quot;, but 10x less than Delta in a previously immune population isn't night and day.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="NotAYakk, post: 8522993, member: 72555"] Note that the death peak lags the infection peak. The faster Omicron infection peak means they overlap less. Infections peaked on Dec 17: [URL unfurl="true"]https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/south-africa[/URL] Deaths peaked on Dec 26: [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.samrc.ac.za/reports/report-weekly-deaths-south-africa[/URL] Baseline deaths are 10k/week. Delta peaks at 11k/week deaths excess; omicron at 3k/week deaths excess. The 3k/week is from a population already almost entirely infected by Delta and/or vaccinated. But the width of the spike is also shorter; I'd eyeball the total excess deaths in the Omicron spike at very roughly 10x smaller than their last Delta-driven wave. Omicron is "less serious", but 10x less than Delta in a previously immune population isn't night and day. [/QUOTE]

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