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<blockquote data-quote="Raven Crowking" data-source="post: 5351144" data-attributes="member: 18280"><p>You fail to understand what I am saying.</p><p></p><p>I am not arguing that your conclusion is wrong. I am specifically arguing that I cannot know whether your conclusion is right or wrong, and neither can you, unless there is some evidence that you have not put forward.</p><p></p><p>An absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. </p><p></p><p>Saying that there is no evidence for X does not mean not-X must be true. It means that, barring evidence, you cannot know if X or not-X is true. </p><p></p><p>The only rational thing you can do is accept that you do not know, await further information, and not base your plans or your self-image on the idea that either X or not-X is true. The last (not basing your plans or self-image on an unknown foundation) is simply because either (1) you will dismiss information that appears to contradict you, in order to retain those plans/self-image, or (2) you stand a good chance of seriously mis-planning or having your self-image destroyed.</p><p></p><p>My argument is not that there are droves of earlier edition players. My argument is not that there are not droves of earlier edition players. My argument is that we do not know how many earlier edition players there are, or how the numbers of the same correlate to what they did when TSR went under. </p><p></p><p>Any arguments that are based upon a presumption that we do know automatically fail as a result. Again, <em><strong>the conclusion of an argument that fails may still be true</strong></em>, but we do not know it to be true, nor can we infer it to be true on the basis of the argument.</p><p></p><p></p><p>RC</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Raven Crowking, post: 5351144, member: 18280"] You fail to understand what I am saying. I am not arguing that your conclusion is wrong. I am specifically arguing that I cannot know whether your conclusion is right or wrong, and neither can you, unless there is some evidence that you have not put forward. An absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Saying that there is no evidence for X does not mean not-X must be true. It means that, barring evidence, you cannot know if X or not-X is true. The only rational thing you can do is accept that you do not know, await further information, and not base your plans or your self-image on the idea that either X or not-X is true. The last (not basing your plans or self-image on an unknown foundation) is simply because either (1) you will dismiss information that appears to contradict you, in order to retain those plans/self-image, or (2) you stand a good chance of seriously mis-planning or having your self-image destroyed. My argument is not that there are droves of earlier edition players. My argument is not that there are not droves of earlier edition players. My argument is that we do not know how many earlier edition players there are, or how the numbers of the same correlate to what they did when TSR went under. Any arguments that are based upon a presumption that we do know automatically fail as a result. Again, [I][B]the conclusion of an argument that fails may still be true[/B][/I], but we do not know it to be true, nor can we infer it to be true on the basis of the argument. RC [/QUOTE]
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