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<blockquote data-quote="Celebrim" data-source="post: 2306841" data-attributes="member: 4937">I admit it.&nbsp; I'm too stupid for the 3d6.&nbsp;&nbsp; I can't compute in my head on the fly what the incremental improvement in the odds of rolling a 16 or better on a 3d6 are between having a +2 bonus on the throw and a +3 bonus on the throw.&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm equally inept at computing on the fly what the average of 5d6 take the best three is, and what is the incremental improvement between 5d6 take the best three and 6d6 take the best three.&nbsp;&nbsp; For that matter, I can't quickly compute in my head what the odds of a failure are on a throw 6d6 that needs to sum to at least 15 either, or even what the chances are that on a throw of 7 d6's that at least 3 will have a 5 or better.&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm too stupid for all that.So rather than stopping the game to work out what the actual odds are on a peice of scratch paper, or pulling a number completely out of the air with no real deep understanding exactly how difficult the demand I'm making is, I think I'll stick to a 'stupid' linear systems.&nbsp; I guess I'm just stupid enough to think that the important thing about bell curves is that they produce the expected range of results.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Celebrim, post: 2306841, member: 4937"] I admit it. I'm too stupid for the 3d6. I can't compute in my head on the fly what the incremental improvement in the odds of rolling a 16 or better on a 3d6 are between having a +2 bonus on the throw and a +3 bonus on the throw. I'm equally inept at computing on the fly what the average of 5d6 take the best three is, and what is the incremental improvement between 5d6 take the best three and 6d6 take the best three. For that matter, I can't quickly compute in my head what the odds of a failure are on a throw 6d6 that needs to sum to at least 15 either, or even what the chances are that on a throw of 7 d6's that at least 3 will have a 5 or better. I'm too stupid for all that. So rather than stopping the game to work out what the actual odds are on a peice of scratch paper, or pulling a number completely out of the air with no real deep understanding exactly how difficult the demand I'm making is, I think I'll stick to a 'stupid' linear systems. I guess I'm just stupid enough to think that the important thing about bell curves is that they produce the expected range of results. [/QUOTE]

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