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<blockquote data-quote="GMMichael" data-source="post: 8801501" data-attributes="member: 6685730">Not what I was getting at.&nbsp; Roll against 65% eight times.&nbsp; P,P,P,F,P,F,P,P.&nbsp; Hmm, it's a good night; I just got six Passes.&nbsp; Was that with a d2 or a d20?&nbsp; One can't say with statistical certainty until one makes many more attempts.&nbsp; I'd expect the distinction to become much easier when judging 50% versus 75% or higher.For some reason, maybe it was the 3e game design, I thought that WotC aimed to maintain a certain Pass percentage as characters leveled up.&nbsp; Say 50% - more likely 65%.&nbsp; It was pretty evident in the standard bonuses to spellcasting DCs versus saving spell bonuses (or &quot;modifiers&quot;).Long story short: D&amp;D, at some points, strives for odds close to 50/50 (or a d2).&nbsp; I wouldn't, however, suggest that all D&amp;D should be &quot;just wing it.&quot;What if your answer gives us an indirect way to evaluate your GM style/preference?&nbsp; I'm hearing that you don't think a GM A) should be allowed to bend such rules and/or B) isn't capable of or willing to inject a decent reflection of 25% odds into GM fiat.&nbsp; I could be wrong, of course <img class="smilie smilie--emoji" alt="🤓" src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f913.png" title="Nerd face&nbsp; &nbsp; :nerd:" data-shortname=":nerd:" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" />See original post.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="GMMichael, post: 8801501, member: 6685730"] Not what I was getting at. Roll against 65% eight times. P,P,P,F,P,F,P,P. Hmm, it's a good night; I just got six Passes. Was that with a d2 or a d20? One can't say with statistical certainty until one makes many more attempts. I'd expect the distinction to become much easier when judging 50% versus 75% or higher. For some reason, maybe it was the 3e game design, I thought that WotC aimed to maintain a certain Pass percentage as characters leveled up. Say 50% - more likely 65%. It was pretty evident in the standard bonuses to spellcasting DCs versus saving spell bonuses (or "modifiers"). Long story short: D&D, at some points, strives for odds close to 50/50 (or a d2). I wouldn't, however, suggest that all D&D should be "just wing it." What if your answer gives us an indirect way to evaluate your GM style/preference? I'm hearing that you don't think a GM A) should be allowed to bend such rules and/or B) isn't capable of or willing to inject a decent reflection of 25% odds into GM fiat. I could be wrong, of course 🤓 See original post. [/QUOTE]

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