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<blockquote data-quote="GMforPowergamers" data-source="post: 8963305" data-attributes="member: 67338">done....the problem isn't that EVERYTHING that trends upward must burst (although what goes up must come down is a descent starting point, that was not, is not and I believe you KNOW wasn't my point)So we have what I would term normal growth... we know that the numbers WotC has access to (yes according to them don't derail into pointless conspericies or edition wars) that sales always go up... they sold more 3e then 2e was selling, they sold more 3.5 then 3e they sold more 4e then 3.5 and they sold more 5e then 4e...BEFORE the boom.so the graph trends up we don't&nbsp; have hard numbers, each edition could double, but each edition may only increase 5% on average. We would have to make HUGE assumptions... so I hope we can just agree that it trends up (and most likely not at a steady rate sometimes more sometiems less)then in the last 5 years something happened (I have my own theory about popcultire and covid makeing a perfect storm with a little bit of finacnal insecurity helping games and such) but we DO know that it increase at a larger rate then normal because we have been told there was a big increase.so to sum up my answer is where things alway trend up (although we don't know how much) the large growth of 2019-2023 is an anomoly... and as such with it now teetinrgin on poping... maybe they get it right a new edition buzz plus this new movie and TV show may extend it... but my thesisi is (please pay attention): large increases that break standards don't continue growth, and large companies wont except stagnant new normally even if they are double or tipple expectations from a year before.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="GMforPowergamers, post: 8963305, member: 67338"] done.... the problem isn't that EVERYTHING that trends upward must burst (although what goes up must come down is a descent starting point, that was not, is not and I believe you KNOW wasn't my point) So we have what I would term normal growth... we know that the numbers WotC has access to (yes according to them don't derail into pointless conspericies or edition wars) that sales always go up... they sold more 3e then 2e was selling, they sold more 3.5 then 3e they sold more 4e then 3.5 and they sold more 5e then 4e...BEFORE the boom. so the graph trends up we don't have hard numbers, each edition could double, but each edition may only increase 5% on average. We would have to make HUGE assumptions... so I hope we can just agree that it trends up (and most likely not at a steady rate sometimes more sometiems less) then in the last 5 years something happened (I have my own theory about popcultire and covid makeing a perfect storm with a little bit of finacnal insecurity helping games and such) but we DO know that it increase at a larger rate then normal because we have been told there was a big increase. so to sum up my answer is where things alway trend up (although we don't know how much) the large growth of 2019-2023 is an anomoly... and as such with it now teetinrgin on poping... maybe they get it right a new edition buzz plus this new movie and TV show may extend it... but my thesisi is (please pay attention): [I][B]large increases that break standards don't continue growth, and large companies wont except stagnant new normally even if they are double or tipple expectations from a year before.[/B][/I] [/QUOTE]

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