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Message: <blockquote data-quote="clearstream" data-source="post: 7526022" data-attributes="member: 71699">The proposed extrapolation feels like a tautology. Can you better explain what dynamic(s) you are envisioning to exist and have significant impact, that result in confounds requiring complex numbers to explain probable mortality over encounters from level 1 to 20?One perspective seems to be that what happens in an encounter is adequately explained within the encounter: strength of foes, clutch abilities, player choices. "Adequately" is noted here because accuracy and insights are sought over precision, which isn't available anyway. It means there could well be other things going on, but they aren't significant enough to matter for what we want to know.Another perspective is that what happens in an encounter can only be adequately explained by looking across encounters: resource depletion, narrative arcs. My experience chimes better with the first perspective hence I raised it. The second perspective seems dissonant to me.</blockquote>