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Edition Bias and 4e Sales Perception
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<blockquote data-quote="Dannager" data-source="post: 4756935" data-attributes="member: 73683"><p>The poll you are suggesting here is implying a range. The average poll taker, in a relative vacuum of useful knowledge, will infer from the choices given that the "correct" response is somewhere within the given range of choices - and more often than not will vote towards the middle of that range, regardless of how accurate that may or may not be. This is a methodological confound. Your poll, as written, will give you absolutely nothing useful.</p><p></p><p>For a more illustrative example of the problem you've come across, imagine seeing an unidentifiable watch and being asked "How many tens of dollars do you think this watch cost?" Now imagine being asked "How many hundreds of dollars do you think this watch cost?" Now imagine being asked "How many thousands of dollars do you think this watch cost?" Each of these questions will provoke an entirely different range of responses from the uneducated participant, even though the actual watch (and its real value) never changes.</p><p></p><p>If you want a real indicator of how people think D&D <em>should</em> be doing (not that it's a useful question to begin with, because people have <em>no idea</em> how D&D should be doing), you need to make the response open-ended, and avoid implying a range completely.</p><p></p><p>Also, not to imply anything of your intentions here, the above confound is sometimes <em>intentionally</em> used in developing a survey in order to purposefully skew results one way or the other. Its effect on response is so predictable that it can be used very reliably to favor one position over another in a study's conclusion.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dannager, post: 4756935, member: 73683"] The poll you are suggesting here is implying a range. The average poll taker, in a relative vacuum of useful knowledge, will infer from the choices given that the "correct" response is somewhere within the given range of choices - and more often than not will vote towards the middle of that range, regardless of how accurate that may or may not be. This is a methodological confound. Your poll, as written, will give you absolutely nothing useful. For a more illustrative example of the problem you've come across, imagine seeing an unidentifiable watch and being asked "How many tens of dollars do you think this watch cost?" Now imagine being asked "How many hundreds of dollars do you think this watch cost?" Now imagine being asked "How many thousands of dollars do you think this watch cost?" Each of these questions will provoke an entirely different range of responses from the uneducated participant, even though the actual watch (and its real value) never changes. If you want a real indicator of how people think D&D [I]should[/I] be doing (not that it's a useful question to begin with, because people have [I]no idea[/I] how D&D should be doing), you need to make the response open-ended, and avoid implying a range completely. Also, not to imply anything of your intentions here, the above confound is sometimes [I]intentionally[/I] used in developing a survey in order to purposefully skew results one way or the other. Its effect on response is so predictable that it can be used very reliably to favor one position over another in a study's conclusion. [/QUOTE]
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