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Forked Thread: Changeover poll
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<blockquote data-quote="mmu1" data-source="post: 4382194" data-attributes="member: 319"><p>The numbers are <em>not</em> exactly the same. For one, the polls ask completely different questions. In addition, the numbers are not <em>at all</em> what you misrepresent them as.</p><p></p><p>The first poll asks basically "Which are you playing more of - 4E or 3E?" </p><p></p><p><u>The responses from people who play 4E half of the time or more add up to only 47% of the total</u> - and calling the 8% who have played or are playing 4E but mostly play something else "converts" is wishful thinking. </p><p></p><p>However, even if you do include them, you only get a 55% conversion rate, for a 55/45 ratio - not 60/40. (which is a huge difference - 55 is 22% more than 45, 60 is 50% more than 40 - it's not 5 insignificant percentage points that can just be rounded off)</p><p></p><p></p><p>The second poll asks how quickly the people who converted to 3E did so - ignoring entirely the people who didn't convert.</p><p></p><p>Which you did intentionally, because you knew that the number of respondents on ENWorld who'd say they didn't convert to 3E at all and never intend to would be tiny - making the 45% who are turning up their noses at 4E look huge. </p><p></p><p>Unfortunately, the numbers still make it look like people rushed out and got 3E much faster than 4E (especialy considering the fact it was only the 3E PHB that was released initially, that the rules weren't leaked as PDFs for all to see way in advance of the official release, etc.) - even if your methodology ultimately makes the poll useless for comparison with Edena's original one.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="mmu1, post: 4382194, member: 319"] The numbers are [i]not[/i] exactly the same. For one, the polls ask completely different questions. In addition, the numbers are not [i]at all[/i] what you misrepresent them as. The first poll asks basically "Which are you playing more of - 4E or 3E?" [U]The responses from people who play 4E half of the time or more add up to only 47% of the total[/U] - and calling the 8% who have played or are playing 4E but mostly play something else "converts" is wishful thinking. However, even if you do include them, you only get a 55% conversion rate, for a 55/45 ratio - not 60/40. (which is a huge difference - 55 is 22% more than 45, 60 is 50% more than 40 - it's not 5 insignificant percentage points that can just be rounded off) The second poll asks how quickly the people who converted to 3E did so - ignoring entirely the people who didn't convert. Which you did intentionally, because you knew that the number of respondents on ENWorld who'd say they didn't convert to 3E at all and never intend to would be tiny - making the 45% who are turning up their noses at 4E look huge. Unfortunately, the numbers still make it look like people rushed out and got 3E much faster than 4E (especialy considering the fact it was only the 3E PHB that was released initially, that the rules weren't leaked as PDFs for all to see way in advance of the official release, etc.) - even if your methodology ultimately makes the poll useless for comparison with Edena's original one. [/QUOTE]
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