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Message: <blockquote data-quote="nakia" data-source="post: 2097621" data-attributes="member: 25747">Two points here: 1.  One point of my example was that they didn't know what they wanted, but somehow the procedure clarified it for them.  During the process, they realized they wanted Mexican food, even though they had already assigned higher values to prime rib.  It seems to me this happens a lot in real life - maybe we are dishonest with ourselves in assigning values, maybe it's just desire trumping reason -- but we frequently make decisions based on rational processes then ignore those decisions.  That's not a problem with decision theory, really, but it seems to be a large part of the human condition that maybe such theory should rekon with.2.  Does decision theory claim any normative force for the outcomes?  My guess is that DT would say the outcome of the process has normative weight because it's what you "really want".  Since you really want it, you'll do it.  If you don't, you didn't really want it. But that seems a little circular.  I'll have to check out Bayes Theorem.  I've done a lot of work with pragmatism (Dewey in particular -- see avatar) and judgment.  There appear to be a lot of similarities between Bayes (as you explain it) and Dewey.  Anyway, I've got some work to do today and I'm out of town (to a philosophy of education conference, actually), so I can't do much more now.  Perhaps when I get back.  Congrats again on grad school!</blockquote>

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