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Message: <blockquote data-quote="pawsplay" data-source="post: 4188710" data-attributes="member: 15538">Actually, I'm betting on 3-4 major alternatives to be standing in the end. There is a lot of diversity in the non-adopters, everything from "not enough anime" to "too much anime," from "I love reserve feats" to "back in my day, a sorcerer was a 7th level magic-user."Wild guesstimation from me:Pathfinder, at least for a couple of years. As the profits eventually slow, the Pathfinder as a commercial endeavor line slows down and the PAthfinder community will continue tinkering with the rules and remain somewhat distinct from, but linked with the other 3.5 based communities. Castles & Crusades looks like it has a lot of staying power. I predict a substantially revised version in a few years that sill maintains a high degree of backward compatibility. One or more publishers are going to market to 3.5 grognards, probably intensifying their efforts on one or two fan websites or portals that serve such a community.I consider True20 a nearly separate development. It's not a D&D replacement, it's for people who want to run non-D&D games but like the d20 mechanics. Likewise, Conan, the modern games, M&M and the rest are pretty distinct. They are not in competition with D&D. They enjoy some symbiosis with it but are also games in their own right.</blockquote>